NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	115		Excitement	4.0 [1006]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +16.8%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	1.1 [357]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (ATL): -9.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.01	0.10	-0.06	20	46%	0.17	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	86%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	2	78%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	70%	0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Austin Rivers	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.04	21	61%	0.09	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	13	61%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	7	84%	0.12	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	21	53%	0.06	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	18	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.03	16	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	31.0	14.8	24.0	1.8	29.2	129.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +49.2%

ATL -3.9%

LAC +7.9%

ATL -3.0%

ATL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	14.8	121.1	109.4	107.7
season	15.0	14.4		110.8	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		104.6	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	15.5	14.8	17.5	15.5
ATL	17.7	13.8	12.9	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	52	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-2	14	15.3	15.7	-0.37	15.0	14.3	0.69
Wesley Johnson	36	39	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	0	10	15.6	15.4	0.23	14.8	14.6	0.17
Austin Rivers	84	84	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	3	4	15.8	13.5	2.31	14.0	19.2	-5.24
Brandon Bass	30	29	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	-1	12	14.7	15.9	-1.21	16.3	13.9	2.40
Marreese Speights	19	19	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	0	10	14.7	15.7	-0.95	16.5	14.2	2.32
JJ Redick	68	69	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	9	-8	16.1	13.9	2.24	14.2	15.9	-1.75
Raymond Felton	58	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	5	0	15.0	16.3	-1.31	15.1	14.0	1.08
DeAndre Jordan	70	71	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	10	-10	15.3	16.1	-0.79	14.2	15.9	-1.64
Luc Mbah a Moute	58	58	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	16	-22	15.9	14.9	0.94	14.5	14.9	-0.42

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	61	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-13	16	14.0	15.9	-1.87	15.1	16.1	-0.94
Kris Humphries	12	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-4	-2	18.0	14.2	3.81	12.7	15.9	-3.13
Mike Scott	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-3	-4	14.3	14.7	-0.37	15.7	15.5	0.19
Kent Bazemore	66	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-13	16	14.3	15.5	-1.21	15.9	14.5	1.46
Dennis Schroder	69	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-10	10	14.1	16.1	-2.01	15.6	15.2	0.43
Mike Dunleavy	32	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-3	-4	16.4	13.8	2.61	15.7	15.4	0.38
Tim Hardaway Jr.	45	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-3	-4	15.6	13.8	1.80	15.1	15.8	-0.75
Dwight Howard	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-4	-2	13.8	17.3	-3.56	15.7	15.0	0.72
Malcolm Delaney	39	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	5	-20	15.1	14.4	0.65	15.8	15.3	0.52
Paul Millsap	75	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-2	-6	14.9	13.8	1.16	15.5	15.6	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
HOU 96, LAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MIL 105, CHH 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%