inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 108 Excitement9.4 [113] MVPKarl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +22.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves 111 Comeback10.3 [167] LVPJameer Nelson (DEN): -30.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Arthur0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.020.07-0.01956%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Wilson Chandler0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.040.001163%0.162-0.06580%0.00
Jamal Murray0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.00-0.011357%0.111-0.05475%-0.00
Gary Harris0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.040.13-0.080.011379%0.242-0.202100%0.01
Kenneth Faried0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari-0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.040.011058%0.021-0.034100%0.06
Will Barton-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00217%-0.032-0.06250%-0.01
Nikola Jokic-0.160,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.06,-0.16-0.02-0.140.011556%-0.014-0.152100%0.01
Jameer Nelson-0.300,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.3-0.08-0.210.01945%-0.204-0.10250%-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.230.230.100.160.021970%0.416-0.18875%-0.01
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.08,0.16,0.140.140.030.11-0.001957%0.253-0.10475%-0.03
Shabazz Muhammad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.04-0.001471%0.232-0.0900%0.00
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.00367%0.0600.0000%0.00
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.00567%0.061-0.022100%0.02
Cole Aldrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.05-0.00847%-0.031-0.02367%-0.02
Zach LaVine0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.00825%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Kris Dunn0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1-0.10-0.00-0.060.04850%-0.081-0.02450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.80.628.215.023.22.336.5130.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +48.7%
DEN -9.0%
DEN -13.8%
MIN +20.3%
MIN +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game14.014.714.8106.9111.0107.7
season14.415.3111.6109.3
opponent14.714.5110.2111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.111.516.613.314.0
MIN15.515.215.412.914.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray44430.58-1.081.670.2013-162912.714.9-2.1415.314.30.98
Will Barton56540.24-0.740.990.240-3313.015.1-2.0814.614.8-0.19
Darrell Arthur48430.23-0.730.960.114-71112.914.9-1.9514.514.8-0.33
Kenneth Faried2525-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-5717.212.94.3615.514.41.04
Gary Harris7474-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.507-101714.113.50.6014.914.30.58
Wilson Chandler7675-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.35-52-712.917.2-4.3614.415.5-1.04
Nikola Jokic5357-0.730.23-0.96-0.52-74-1114.912.91.9514.814.50.33
Danilo Gallinari7272-0.950.45-1.40-0.57-1310-2314.512.61.9314.614.9-0.32
Jameer Nelson5757-1.080.58-1.67-0.61-1613-2914.912.72.1414.315.3-0.98

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kris Dunn70721.02-0.521.530.6114-112514.515.1-0.6214.512.61.88
Andrew Wiggins81810.74-0.240.980.4510-71714.515.5-0.9614.113.20.89
Karl-Anthony Towns83840.62-0.120.730.446-3914.615.4-0.8614.113.20.87
Shabazz Muhammad73740.60-0.100.700.368-51314.216.1-1.8812.817.2-4.40
Tyus Jones44440.380.120.260.41-14-513.815.4-1.6212.615.0-2.47
Gorgui Dieng3130-0.020.52-0.540.04-25-715.514.31.2317.412.54.89
Cole Aldrich1313-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-36-914.914.70.2611.214.4-3.13
Nemanja Bjelica3840-0.340.84-1.19-0.05-1013-2315.614.21.4213.714.1-0.35
Zach LaVine6767-0.390.89-1.29-0.19-710-1715.513.12.4514.313.31.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.37,0.26,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.54,0.45,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 90, MIL 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.42,189.5%
SAC 90, MEM 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.45,0.58,189.1%
DAL 79, SAC 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.73,189.1%