inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 119 Excitement7.1 [439] MVPMarcus Smart (BOS): +38.2%
New York Knicks 114 Comeback1.8 [690] LVPBrandon Jennings (NYK): -6.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Smart0.380,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.380.080.310.00968%0.401-0.02475%-0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.130.06-0.00989%0.231-0.0400%0.00
Jae Crowder0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.120.090.02-0.01973%0.141-0.02475%0.03
Al Horford0.090,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.01-0.021358%0.0900.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.030.00667%0.0800.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.020.00656%0.0500.00475%-0.00
Avery Bradley0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.020.001246%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jaylen Brown-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.02-0.00520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.030.012350%0.012-0.04875%0.02

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,0.1,0.080.080.030.070.021665%0.205-0.122100%0.01
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.02-0.02370%0.092-0.024100%0.02
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.01473%0.0600.00367%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.18,0.050.050.040.020.012451%0.152-0.099100%0.05
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.01955%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00343%0.0100.001100%0.01
Mindaugas Kuzminskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Willy Hernangomez00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.05-0.040.051957%0.063-0.09683%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02475%0.054-0.0900%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.829.716.026.02.843.2146.3
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +60.7%
NYK -24.0%
NYK -16.1%
BOS +25.5%
BOS +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSNYKNBABOSNYKNBA
this game16.113.514.8121.4118.8107.7
season14.715.0110.1106.6
opponent14.714.9110.0108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.918.817.113.516.1
NYK14.113.914.212.213.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Smart57550.90-0.401.290.3718-133116.515.60.8613.813.20.63
Gerald Green19200.51-0.010.520.0416-112718.615.53.1015.413.02.36
Al Horford71710.380.120.260.2450516.515.31.1513.413.9-0.53
Amir Johnson50470.350.150.190.118-31116.415.80.6314.013.10.83
Jae Crowder71690.290.210.080.2614-315.816.9-1.0913.413.9-0.45
Isaiah Thomas70680.150.35-0.200.36-712-1915.218.5-3.3613.214.3-1.07
Avery Bradley65670.120.38-0.260.29-611-1715.816.8-1.0813.214.2-0.97
Jonas Jerebko25230.080.42-0.350.14-27-915.016.5-1.4714.113.40.73
Jaylen Brown1513-0.050.55-0.590.01-27-916.216.10.0812.413.7-1.33
Kelly Olynyk4747-0.220.72-0.94-0.04-611-1716.815.51.3413.313.8-0.46

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lance Thomas18200.07-0.570.64-0.054-91312.413.8-1.3417.015.91.15
Justin Holiday2533-0.05-0.450.39-0.143-81113.913.40.4716.216.10.17
Kyle O'Quinn2628-0.08-0.420.35-0.132-7913.813.40.4316.715.90.76
Mindaugas Kuzminskas1513-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-4315.913.12.7721.115.45.70
Joakim Noah5955-0.12-0.380.26-0.244-91313.114.2-1.0715.916.4-0.47
Willy Hernangomez65-0.21-0.290.080.08-105-1515.213.41.7421.215.95.34
Brandon Jennings2932-0.24-0.260.03-0.12-4-1-314.113.30.8716.016.2-0.20
Kristaps Porzingis7680-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.28-3-2-113.214.8-1.6715.519.1-3.65
Derrick Rose7679-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.28-50-513.513.7-0.2816.116.10.03
Courtney Lee7167-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.26-61-713.413.9-0.4715.717.2-1.50
Carmelo Anthony7978-0.540.04-0.57-0.27-94-1313.613.30.2915.817.4-1.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 96, CLE 880.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,091.9%
UTA 97, GSW 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.13,091.8%
SAS 83, NOH 670.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,091.8%