NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	100		Excitement	8.0 [261]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +16.8%
Golden State Warriors	105		Comeback	2.7 [927]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -19.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Muscala	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	82%	0.12	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Malcolm Delaney	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	58%	0.13	3	-0.11	8	50%	-0.09
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	48%	0.01	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	20	55%	0.05	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	8	45%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	15	27%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.10	-0.02	16	62%	0.26	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.05
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	17	56%	0.20	3	-0.07	11	82%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	9	60%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	18	54%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	9	22%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	27.7	15.5	26.4	2.4	40.5	141.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.3%

GSW +2.9%

ATL -8.9%

GSW +14.5%

GSW +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	GSW	NBA	ATL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	13.2	14.8	99.0	104.0	107.7
season	14.4	13.5		104.2	114.9
opponent	15.1	14.9		103.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	14.9	15.8	15.0	15.3
GSW	12.3	13.9	13.5	13.2	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	59	60	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-9	13	15.3	15.3	-0.06	13.3	13.2	0.11
Dennis Schroder	70	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-6	7	15.8	14.0	1.84	13.4	12.9	0.44
Dwight Howard	76	77	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-5	5	15.1	15.9	-0.85	13.9	11.0	2.88
Kyle Korver	60	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-5	5	16.0	14.2	1.86	13.5	12.8	0.63
Mike Muscala	43	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	4	-13	16.1	14.7	1.42	13.7	12.9	0.77
Tim Hardaway Jr.	32	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	1	-7	14.9	15.4	-0.54	12.8	13.4	-0.58
Malcolm Delaney	33	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	3	-11	14.0	15.9	-1.90	13.1	13.3	-0.18
Paul Millsap	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.48	1	-6	7	15.0	16.0	-1.01	12.4	15.7	-3.25
Thabo Sefolosha	56	54	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.36	-8	3	-11	14.7	15.9	-1.18	12.9	13.7	-0.83

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	59	57	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.33	18	-13	31	13.0	13.5	-0.53	15.7	14.7	0.97
Draymond Green	82	82	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-3	11	12.9	14.5	-1.59	15.6	13.8	1.83
Klay Thompson	78	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	13.3	13.0	0.36	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Kevin Durant	77	80	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.54	-7	12	-19	12.4	16.0	-3.68	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Stephen Curry	81	80	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	-1	7	13.0	14.2	-1.26	15.5	14.3	1.25
Shaun Livingston	32	32	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	6	-7	15.1	12.4	2.67	14.9	15.4	-0.50
David West	19	19	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	8	-11	14.5	12.9	1.59	13.8	15.6	-1.83
JaVale McGee	10	9	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	2	1	17.4	12.8	4.62	15.7	15.2	0.43
Ian Clark	24	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	7	-9	12.5	13.5	-0.91	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Patrick McCaw	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	6	-7	14.5	13.1	1.37	14.0	15.4	-1.39
Zaza Pachulia	35	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.10	2	3	-1	13.3	13.2	0.03	15.4	15.2	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.57,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.63,0.78,0.65,0.6,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 106, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.66,0.72,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.5%
PHI 75, CHH 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.98,1	92.4%
PHI 81, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1	92.2%