NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	5.3 [755]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +15.0%
New York Knicks	104		Comeback	1.2 [562]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -19.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.02	0.06	12	68%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	12	50%	-0.05
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.06	17	51%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Delaney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	54%	0.01	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.19	-0.02	-0.01	8	6%	-0.15	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.02	22	66%	0.22	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	15	56%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marshall Plumlee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	64%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	14	44%	-0.06	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	27.1	16.8	27.2	2.4	30.6	129.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +58.1%

ATL -7.2%

NYK +0.5%

ATL -4.9%

NYK +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.6	16.1	14.8	96.9	107.2	107.7
season	14.4	15.0		104.2	106.6
opponent	14.7	14.9		110.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.7	14.1	12.0	12.8	13.6
NYK	16.3	14.7	16.1	17.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	41	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-12	14	14.4	13.0	1.40	17.2	15.2	1.92
Kris Humphries	10	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-6	2	15.7	13.4	2.31	12.2	16.6	-4.38
Mike Muscala	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-10	10	12.8	14.1	-1.28	16.2	16.0	0.16
Malcolm Delaney	43	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-9	8	13.5	13.7	-0.21	15.4	16.5	-1.12
Dennis Schroder	44	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-3	-4	13.8	13.5	0.35	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Taurean Prince	34	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-5	0	15.5	12.6	2.84	15.3	16.5	-1.26
Dwight Howard	59	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-3	-4	13.9	13.1	0.82	16.5	15.5	0.96
Kent Bazemore	62	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-6	2	12.8	15.1	-2.37	16.6	15.1	1.53
Paul Millsap	77	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	13.2	15.3	-2.17	16.2	15.4	0.83
Kyle Korver	78	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	7	-24	13.3	14.8	-1.44	15.8	16.9	-1.10

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willy Hernangomez	60	59	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-1	12	15.1	17.5	-2.39	14.3	12.6	1.73
Derrick Rose	59	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-2	14	16.5	15.4	1.14	13.6	13.7	-0.08
Carmelo Anthony	76	75	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	1	8	16.6	14.3	2.27	13.3	14.9	-1.60
Kyle O'Quinn	32	33	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-2	14	16.4	15.9	0.51	14.7	13.1	1.57
Courtney Lee	76	77	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	4	2	16.6	14.2	2.39	13.2	15.4	-2.23
Kristaps Porzingis	63	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	5	0	16.0	16.2	-0.22	13.0	14.8	-1.71
Justin Holiday	38	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	8	-6	15.1	16.7	-1.53	14.2	13.3	0.87
Brandon Jennings	57	56	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	13	-16	16.0	16.1	-0.15	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	12	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	9	-8	12.3	16.6	-4.25	15.6	13.4	2.23
Marshall Plumlee	12	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	15	-20	18.5	15.7	2.78	13.6	13.6	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.77,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 84, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NYK 92, NOP 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIA 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.77,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.5%