NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	83		Excitement	7.0 [461]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +26.9%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	2.4 [661]		LVP	Dwight Powell (DAL): -12.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.14	0.00	15	67%	0.27	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Justin Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.03	24	53%	0.16	2	-0.15	5	80%	0.01
Nicolas Brussino	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	41%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	7	43%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	8	17%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,0.02,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.04	0.25	0.03	18	58%	0.49	5	-0.22	16	81%	0.04
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	80%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.06	-0.04	4	62%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	6	25%	-0.07	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	19	46%	-0.03	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	24.1	15.4	23.7	2.5	37.3	128.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +15.7%

BOS +22.7%

BOS +35.1%

DAL -20.2%

DAL -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BOS	NBA	DAL	BOS	NBA
this game	17.4	14.6	14.8	92.2	100.0	107.7
season	16.2	14.7		104.4	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.7		108.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.4	15.8	18.6	17.0	17.4
BOS	12.9	17.0	17.4	11.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Brussino	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	10.0	17.5	-7.48	12.0	14.6	-2.63
Jose Juan Barea	54	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-8	9	17.1	17.9	-0.77	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Dorian Finney-Smith	26	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	19.0	16.8	2.20	16.2	13.9	2.26
Andrew Bogut	47	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-2	-3	17.6	17.1	0.50	14.0	15.2	-1.18
Deron Williams	19	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	3	-13	17.4	17.4	-0.04	14.4	14.7	-0.26
Seth Curry	61	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.40	5	-12	17	16.9	18.5	-1.65	14.2	15.6	-1.37
Dwight Powell	55	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-6	5	17.6	17.1	0.42	14.7	14.5	0.23
Justin Anderson	42	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-3	-1	16.8	18.0	-1.20	14.1	15.0	-0.95
Wesley Matthews	70	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	3	-13	17.6	16.6	1.03	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Harrison Barnes	75	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	3	-13	17.5	16.9	0.56	15.1	11.7	3.42

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	63	63	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-4	15	14.8	14.0	0.80	17.6	16.9	0.68
Jonas Jerebko	45	45	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-2	11	14.3	14.9	-0.67	16.6	18.2	-1.51
Marcus Smart	67	66	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-2	11	15.2	12.7	2.50	17.2	18.1	-0.93
Isaiah Thomas	65	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-3	13	13.5	17.6	-4.10	17.4	17.4	0.02
Amir Johnson	52	52	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	4	-1	14.9	14.1	0.81	17.9	16.7	1.24
James Young	12	12	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	5	-3	17.2	14.2	2.96	16.8	17.5	-0.65
Tyler Zeller	17	16	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	7	-7	15.5	14.4	1.07	16.0	17.7	-1.70
Jaylen Brown	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	9	-11	14.2	14.7	-0.51	17.3	17.4	-0.19
Kelly Olynyk	53	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.18	4	3	1	14.3	15.0	-0.68	17.9	16.7	1.22
Gerald Green	14	15	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	11	-15	13.1	14.9	-1.73	17.8	17.3	0.48
Terry Rozier	39	40	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	14	-21	14.9	14.4	0.52	17.6	17.2	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.34,0.55,0.71,0.94,0.96,1	93.0%
NJN 92, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.98,1	92.1%
GSW 108, HOU 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.86,0.99,1	91.8%