inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 107 Excitement6.8 [486] MVPThabo Sefolosha (ATL): +15.1%
Atlanta Hawks 115 Comeback2.3 [642] LVPDennis Schroder (ATL): -31.9%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0.090,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.090.140.010.052465%0.234-0.131275%0.05
Doug McDermott0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.090.050.050.00667%0.0900.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.000.021766%0.153-0.07475%0.00
Robin Lopez0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Isaiah Canaan0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.04-0.01944%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Taj Gibson0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001542%0.0000.001100%0.01
Nikola Mirotic-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.020.00325%-0.042-0.052100%0.01
Bobby Portis-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.07-0.080.0030%-0.071-0.0700%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.210,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.11-0.100.001027%-0.172-0.04250%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.02-0.029100%0.244-0.092100%0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.08-0.00967%0.192-0.04967%-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.06-0.00961%0.1200.0000%0.00
Malcolm Delaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.020.03671%0.071-0.022100%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.00861%0.051-0.022100%0.02
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.030.015100%0.103-0.091100%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01150%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00430%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.070.000.011353%0.076-0.154100%0.01
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32-0.32-0.18-0.120.021932%-0.214-0.11367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.531.215.728.42.639.0143.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +31.8%
CHI -0.8%
ATL +32.3%
CHI -14.2%
ATL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIATLNBACHIATLNBA
this game14.113.914.8101.9113.9107.7
season15.114.4105.9104.2
opponent14.914.8104.6105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.012.814.613.314.1
ATL15.313.412.514.413.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rajon Rondo7672-0.04-0.460.42-0.216-142013.814.9-1.1114.312.71.69
Robin Lopez6161-0.06-0.440.37-0.184-121615.412.33.1014.013.70.27
Jimmy Butler8281-0.08-0.420.34-0.318-162414.512.71.7414.312.12.20
Taj Gibson8478-0.18-0.320.14-0.211-91014.113.90.2413.814.1-0.35
Nikola Mirotic2626-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-146-2011.814.8-2.9912.914.2-1.32
Dwyane Wade8074-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.17-6-2-413.615.8-2.1813.714.4-0.75
Bobby Portis3028-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.10-91-1014.114.1-0.0414.813.51.28
Doug McDermott3940-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.06-157-2213.714.3-0.6414.213.60.56
Isaiah Canaan4745-0.590.09-0.68-0.15-157-2214.613.70.9812.315.1-2.80

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malcolm Delaney36410.84-0.341.180.1125-174211.915.0-3.0613.314.6-1.32
Paul Millsap72760.54-0.040.570.2111-31414.212.91.3113.316.1-2.77
Thabo Sefolosha62640.52-0.020.540.2980813.514.4-0.9413.215.5-2.36
Tim Hardaway Jr.42460.430.070.360.0812-41613.014.5-1.5613.614.5-0.90
Kris Humphries26290.340.160.18-0.0112-41613.014.2-1.1613.014.5-1.51
Dwight Howard69690.230.27-0.030.32-311-1414.113.20.8915.311.73.57
Kyle Korver54590.060.44-0.39-0.1880814.113.60.4614.313.90.36
Kent Bazemore45440.010.49-0.480.24-816-2414.713.21.4515.213.31.91
Mike Muscala3433-0.130.63-0.750.11-816-2413.514.0-0.5015.013.71.32
Dennis Schroder6564-0.340.84-1.180.16-1725-4215.011.93.0614.613.31.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 94, UTA 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.68,0.89,0.9,0.96,192.3%
MIL 115, POR 1190.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.86,0.88,0.99,0.98,191.5%
DEN 96, PHX 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,191.3%