inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 97 Excitement5.3 [758] MVPKent Bazemore (ATL): +15.2%
Atlanta Hawks 112 Comeback1.4 [817] LVPNene (HOU): -8.3%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.130,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.01-0.021967%0.306-0.17786%0.03
KJ McDaniels0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.000.00693%0.121-0.022100%0.01
Montrezl Harrell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.002100%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Kyle Wiltjer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bobby Brown-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.001050%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Clint Capela-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.01786%0.105-0.1100%0.00
Tyler Ennis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Ryan Anderson-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.03-0.021346%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.0330%-0.042-0.0300%0.00
Eric Gordon-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.000.001135%-0.022-0.05475%-0.00
Sam Dekker-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00625%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Nene-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00520%-0.061-0.0300%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.03-0.001274%0.212-0.063100%0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.030.011067%0.133-0.071040%-0.04
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00-0.04383%0.062-0.0200%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.00-0.061453%0.114-0.08475%-0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.01683%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.02850%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Ryan Kelly00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Taurean Prince00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre Bembry00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.01-0.02525%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.032051%0.052-0.06560%-0.01
Malcolm Delaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.04743%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.430.415.421.82.633.3132.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +35.7%
HOU -6.2%
ATL +5.2%
ATL +13.7%
ATL +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUATLNBAHOUATLNBA
this game13.414.414.894.2107.7107.7
season13.714.4113.2104.2
opponent14.914.9104.6108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.012.514.113.013.4
ATL14.313.215.315.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Wiltjer330.00-0.500.50-0.062-17199.313.5-4.1819.014.34.70
Montrezl Harrell3434-0.02-0.480.450.01-1-141313.913.20.6913.015.1-2.08
Bobby Brown56-0.05-0.450.400.10-5-10515.013.31.6916.314.32.02
KJ McDaniels4041-0.08-0.420.33-0.173-182113.113.6-0.4314.714.30.41
Tyler Ennis1515-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-131111.313.7-2.4115.314.30.97
Clint Capela4646-0.23-0.270.04-0.05-6-9312.314.3-1.9615.113.91.25
Sam Dekker3536-0.23-0.270.03-0.09-5-10512.713.7-1.0215.413.91.50
Corey Brewer3233-0.23-0.270.03-0.03-7-8113.013.5-0.5215.114.10.96
Nene2324-0.25-0.250.01-0.01-8-7-114.913.01.9115.114.20.85
James Harden7979-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.02-8-7-113.911.62.3013.816.3-2.43
Trevor Ariza6868-0.27-0.23-0.030.03-10-5-513.712.71.0213.915.4-1.50
Ryan Anderson6868-0.27-0.23-0.030.03-10-5-513.712.71.0213.915.4-1.50
Eric Gordon6767-0.500.00-0.500.03-183-2113.313.6-0.3914.614.10.50

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Korver66660.57-0.070.64-0.1023-83114.414.5-0.1112.914.3-1.42
Kent Bazemore68680.52-0.020.54-0.1021-62714.115.1-1.0814.112.02.06
Dwight Howard65640.330.170.170.01114714.214.9-0.7013.613.10.54
Paul Millsap73730.280.220.070.0296314.215.0-0.8513.712.70.92
Malcolm Delaney34340.270.230.04-0.08123914.614.40.2312.313.9-1.68
Thabo Sefolosha52500.240.26-0.020.0478-114.314.5-0.2113.513.30.14
Dennis Schroder70690.230.27-0.040.14312-914.414.6-0.2313.912.31.68
Mike Muscala43440.150.35-0.200.03411-714.314.5-0.1413.213.5-0.32
Ryan Kelly330.000.50-0.500.06-217-1919.014.34.709.313.5-4.18
Taurean Prince330.000.50-0.500.06-217-1919.014.34.709.313.5-4.18
DeAndre Bembry330.000.50-0.500.06-217-1919.014.34.709.313.5-4.18
Tim Hardaway Jr.4038-0.100.60-0.700.16-924-3315.213.91.2913.213.5-0.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 83, MIA 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
CLE 105, POR 1130.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.97,0.98,194.9%
OKC 90, CHI 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%