inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 102 Excitement7.1 [432] MVPDanilo Gallinari (DEN): +15.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves 99 Comeback3.5 [202] LVPEmmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -25.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0.160,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.170.000.02990%0.171-0.023100%0.01
Jusuf Nurkic0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.040.05-0.021355%0.151-0.04757%-0.04
Wilson Chandler0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.02-0.011266%0.152-0.05560%-0.01
Nikola Jokic0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.00380%0.061-0.04450%-0.03
Kenneth Faried0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.014100%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Juan Hernangomez-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.021064%0.055-0.092100%0.01
Jamal Murray-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.15-0.01-0.0380%-0.101-0.0300%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.250,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.3,-0.34,-0.23,-0.25-0.21-0.05-0.001830%-0.046-0.214100%0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.17-0.020.011967%0.212-0.071080%-0.01
Andrew Wiggins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.02,0.05,0.050.050.12-0.050.021861%0.071-0.025100%0.02
Shabazz Muhammad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Cole Aldrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.00250%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Zach LaVine0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.070.001344%-0.0700.00667%-0.02
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.01520%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.14-0.03-0.00617%-0.084-0.0900%0.00
Kris Dunn0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.14-0.06-0.00621%-0.084-0.11250%-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.22-0.22-0.05-0.17-0.001350%-0.064-0.152100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.430.114.834.02.432.3143.2
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +52.6%
DEN +7.3%
MIN -2.2%
MIN -9.6%
DEN +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game14.014.714.8100.0100.0107.7
season14.415.3111.6109.3
opponent14.714.5110.2111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.513.411.216.014.0
MIN13.314.917.113.314.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jusuf Nurkic58550.63-0.130.770.2513-102314.313.70.6214.215.2-1.03
Jameer Nelson71660.53-0.030.570.366-3914.313.31.0315.213.61.53
Danilo Gallinari79750.370.130.230.46-36-914.512.42.0914.116.3-2.16
Wilson Chandler57550.360.140.220.3312-114.713.11.5714.914.30.57
Nikola Jokic31320.340.160.170.137-41112.714.6-1.9115.414.31.15
Emmanuel Mudiay71710.270.230.050.42-58-1314.213.60.5213.717.1-3.37
Jamal Murray62610.190.31-0.120.045-2713.514.8-1.3815.213.81.45
Juan Hernangomez23230.130.37-0.24-0.025-2711.014.9-3.9416.714.12.60
Kenneth Faried4140-0.150.65-0.790.12-912-2113.514.4-0.8714.714.60.11
Darrell Arthur1717-0.180.68-0.86-0.03-58-1316.413.52.8813.314.9-1.64

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Rush2626-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-2116.214.12.1313.214.3-1.15
Cole Aldrich1717-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-2116.214.31.8413.914.0-0.15
Gorgui Dieng5961-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-2114.614.7-0.0313.414.9-1.53
Shabazz Muhammad2527-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-52-716.414.12.3314.014.00.04
Kris Dunn6364-0.22-0.280.07-0.13-30-314.914.20.6813.315.2-1.96
Tyus Jones3638-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.280-3314.214.9-0.6815.213.31.96
Andrew Wiggins7475-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.372-5714.116.4-2.3314.014.0-0.04
Nemanja Bjelica4446-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.31-30-315.014.40.5414.513.60.93
Karl-Anthony Towns7880-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.39-1-2114.216.5-2.3114.213.30.94
Zach LaVine7376-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.37-2-1-114.116.2-2.1314.313.21.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 98, PHX 970.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,092.5%
MIL 87, MIN 720.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,092.2%
CHI 101, WAS 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.16,0.01,0.04,091.8%