NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	100		Excitement	11.7 [18]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): +50.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	102		Comeback	3.8 [395]		LVP	Goran Dragic (MIA): -23.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.38	0.03	0.34	-0.00	21	59%	0.53	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.3,0.3,0.22	0.05	0.17	-0.00	8	64%	0.32	3	-0.10	12	50%	-0.08
Luol Deng	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.08	0.01	15	65%	0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Justise Winslow	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	6	50%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.2	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	9	50%	-0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Josh Richardson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	8	6%	-0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Goran Dragic	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	14	39%	-0.14	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.10	0.42	0.02	19	57%	0.51	0	0.00	8	75%	0.07
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.41	0.41	-0.01	0.41	-0.01	11	46%	0.44	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.09	-0.01	10	55%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	52%	0.02	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	19	39%	-0.00	3	-0.22	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	3.3	23.7	15.7	25.5	1.8	36.3	2.4	12.5	145.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA -14.8%

LAL +39.8%

LAL +14.3%

LAL +3.3%

LAL +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAL	NBA	MIA	LAL	NBA
this game	13.3	17.4	14.9	97.1	98.1	105.1
season	15.5	15.2		104.5	100.1
opponent	14.5	15.1		109.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	11.3	14.1	14.4	13.7	13.8	13.3
LAL	16.4	17.8	16.3	19.6	16.2	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	28	28	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.11	7	-9	16	13.9	13.1	0.71	16.9	17.5	-0.60
Dwyane Wade	70	74	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.46	13	-15	28	13.9	12.2	1.61	17.9	16.0	1.92
Joe Johnson	67	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.46	9	-11	20	14.1	11.9	2.23	17.5	17.0	0.50
Goran Dragic	79	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-1	0	13.1	14.1	-0.97	16.6	19.7	-3.11
Luol Deng	83	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	0	-2	13.1	14.3	-1.19	16.9	19.0	-2.11
Hassan Whiteside	75	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	7	-16	13.1	13.9	-0.71	17.5	16.9	0.60
Justise Winslow	56	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.16	-13	11	-24	12.7	14.0	-1.29	17.8	16.9	0.92
Josh Richardson	57	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.15	-14	12	-26	13.0	13.7	-0.72	17.7	16.9	0.82

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	54	55	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.53	6	-4	10	16.9	17.9	-0.99	12.2	14.6	-2.37
Larry Nance Jr.	48	49	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.16	16	-14	30	17.6	17.2	0.37	14.1	12.6	1.49
D'Angelo Russell	67	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.47	-7	9	-16	18.0	16.2	1.74	14.0	12.3	1.66
Jordan Clarkson	68	65	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.40	-5	7	-12	18.2	15.8	2.34	14.3	11.8	2.50
Lou Williams	36	38	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	-5	12	15.8	18.2	-2.34	11.8	14.3	-2.50
Marcelo Huertas	37	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-7	16	16.2	18.0	-1.74	12.3	14.0	-1.66
Julius Randle	75	73	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.48	-11	13	-24	17.4	17.4	-0.02	13.8	12.3	1.42
Ryan Kelly	44	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.08	8	-6	14	17.0	17.6	-0.67	12.6	13.9	-1.35
Roy Hibbert	63	60	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	4	-6	18.0	16.3	1.69	14.0	12.4	1.62
Kobe Bryant	18	17	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	15	-28	17.6	17.3	0.23	12.2	13.6	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.32,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, CHH 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.83,0.77,0.64,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.85,1	88.8%
NJN 85, HOU 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.74,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.96,1	87.7%
DEN 105, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.91,1	87.5%