inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 111 Excitement7.1 [432] MVPKelly Olynyk (BOS): +43.8%
Milwaukee Bucks 112 Comeback2.4 [256] LVPEvan Turner (BOS): -17.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk0.440,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.440.100.370.03968%0.4400.004100%0.20
Jae Crowder0.370,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.370.150.250.031272%0.3700.001100%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.010.02881%0.0900.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.01-0.02855%0.082-0.04683%0.02
Isaiah Thomas0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04,-0.02,0.01-0.000.010.00960%0.104-0.097100%0.05
Tyler Zeller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00440%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Avery Bradley-0.040,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.08-0.050.071275%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.00643%-0.023-0.082100%0.01
Jared Sullinger-0.120,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.00825%-0.082-0.0400%0.00
Evan Turner-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.12-0.07-0.02833%-0.064-0.122100%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.440.44-0.020.44-0.021650%0.483-0.04875%0.03
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.430.430.090.350.012160%0.513-0.08650%-0.07
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.020.01873%0.122-0.05667%-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.001254%0.0600.002100%0.01
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.01-0.01978%0.103-0.0500%0.00
Rashad Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jabari Parker0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.021240%0.011-0.0310%-0.02
Miles Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00650%0.011-0.0300%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.523.615.328.62.437.8134.6
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +45.1%
BOS -5.7%
BOS -4.2%
MIL +12.5%
MIL +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMILNBABOSMILNBA
this game13.015.514.9109.9110.9105.1
season13.914.8104.5102.8
opponent15.315.0107.2101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS11.913.813.712.713.0
MIL13.316.214.019.115.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson53550.10-0.600.70-0.4619-203913.013.1-0.1216.913.83.14
Avery Bradley7677-0.03-0.470.45-0.6722-234513.112.70.4016.911.05.95
Jae Crowder6666-0.04-0.460.42-0.4815-163112.713.6-0.8916.114.41.72
Jared Sullinger4344-0.07-0.430.36-0.225-61113.013.1-0.0715.415.6-0.15
Jonas Jerebko3032-0.15-0.350.21-0.12-10-113.312.90.4016.315.11.15
Kelly Olynyk4138-0.25-0.250.01-0.519-101912.913.1-0.1616.115.20.89
Isaiah Thomas6766-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.15-109-1912.613.8-1.1714.816.9-2.08
Tyler Zeller2524-0.46-0.04-0.420.18-2221-4313.113.00.0811.316.8-5.51
Marcus Smart4747-0.550.05-0.610.12-2322-4513.312.80.4813.617.2-3.59
Evan Turner6262-0.640.14-0.79-0.26-1312-2513.412.40.9515.315.8-0.45

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Monroe62640.480.020.450.219-81714.816.6-1.7812.913.2-0.22
Michael Carter-Williams59590.430.070.350.227-61314.417.0-2.5811.914.6-2.66
Khris Middleton80800.400.100.300.55-56-1115.814.31.5313.013.2-0.28
Giannis Antetokounmpo78790.390.110.290.3901-114.917.3-2.4012.714.3-1.66
Jerryd Bayless67680.330.170.170.45-45-915.615.20.4412.613.8-1.14
Rashad Vaughn30290.200.30-0.11-0.1010-91915.015.7-0.7513.912.71.28
O.J. Mayo35350.160.34-0.180.22-23-516.814.82.0415.111.93.25
Jabari Parker55540.090.41-0.330.15-23-516.214.61.5913.412.50.91
Miles Plumlee39370.020.48-0.450.26-89-1716.614.81.7813.212.90.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.37,0.4,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 78, LAL 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.0%
PHI 100, CHH 1090.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.96,0.97,0.98,194.0%
GSW 90, SAS 1020.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,193.9%