inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 126 Excitement10.5 [50] MVPMyles Turner (IND): +37.4%
Denver Nuggets 129 Comeback8.7 [103] LVPEmmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -12.5%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Myles Turner0.370,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.370.180.190.001378%0.401-0.02650%-0.08
Joe Young0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.03-0.001165%0.151-0.051100%0.00
CJ Miles0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.090.050.040.00567%0.121-0.02887%0.06
Jordan Hill0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.05-0.00575%0.112-0.04250%-0.02
Lavoy Allen0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.030.00367%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Chase Budinger0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Solomon Hill0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00560%0.071-0.0500%0.00
Paul George-0.030,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.2,-0.030.04-0.050.021268%0.094-0.124100%0.05
Glenn Robinson-0.040,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.01840%-0.0400.00475%-0.00
Monta Ellis-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.16,0.04,-0.04,-0.050.04-0.10-0.001762%0.074-0.12540%-0.19

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.340.340.060.28-0.00860%0.3400.00450%-0.03
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.23,0.14,0.320.320.080.22-0.021758%0.351-0.032100%0.04
Gary Harris0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.130.15-0.001274%0.342-0.053100%0.02
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.030.01768%0.1000.00560%-0.03
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.011164%0.101-0.02683%0.01
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.08-0.000.001172%0.204-0.1310100%0.08
Joffrey Lauvergne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00550%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.04-0.00844%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Sean Kilpatrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.180.050.001036%0.117-0.23825%-0.23
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.330.315.729.71.843.3148.5
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +29.0%
DEN +15.1%
DEN +17.5%
IND -7.3%
IND -4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDENNBAINDDENNBA
this game14.214.214.9124.8126.5105.1
season14.614.9103.2104.3
opponent14.914.9107.8101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.414.414.913.314.2
DEN14.416.214.512.014.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Hill38390.30-0.801.110.107-101715.513.42.1314.214.2-0.04
Joe Young37390.25-0.750.990.076-91513.814.4-0.6514.813.81.08
Lavoy Allen39400.21-0.710.920.094-71115.513.42.1015.113.61.52
Chase Budinger33350.07-0.570.64-0.147-101714.214.20.0714.613.90.69
Glenn Robinson3435-0.13-0.370.250.14-96-1515.113.71.4314.014.3-0.27
Paul George7877-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.35-52-714.214.3-0.0813.815.2-1.41
Solomon Hill6161-0.610.11-0.73-0.44-63-913.515.2-1.7413.714.8-1.09
Monta Ellis6766-0.640.14-0.78-0.49-52-714.813.01.8513.615.2-1.53
CJ Miles5555-0.650.15-0.80-0.56-30-313.015.7-2.6714.513.80.64
Myles Turner6363-0.800.30-1.10-0.48-118-1913.415.5-2.1314.214.20.04

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Emmanuel Mudiay78780.56-0.060.610.444-1513.616.2-2.6014.612.71.89
Randy Foye36360.53-0.030.560.5012-115.613.42.1712.715.0-2.29
Gary Harris79790.480.020.460.306-3913.815.5-1.6814.812.02.75
Darrell Arthur48480.460.040.420.49-14-514.913.61.2813.315.0-1.65
Will Barton68670.410.090.320.47-25-714.114.2-0.0913.715.1-1.39
Nikola Jokic50500.110.39-0.28-0.014-1514.114.2-0.1114.913.51.39
Danilo Gallinari48490.040.46-0.42-0.115-2713.614.7-1.0414.813.61.24
Joffrey Lauvergne3433-0.010.51-0.510.05-25-715.213.61.5913.014.8-1.78
Kenneth Faried5755-0.010.51-0.52-0.1030313.415.1-1.6715.412.72.68
Sean Kilpatrick1210-0.070.57-0.630.02-36-916.813.83.019.314.7-5.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.41,0.55,0.56,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.17,0.2,0.37,0.32,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 104, CHI 1050.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.47,0.4,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.42,190.5%
CLE 108, MIA 1100.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.45,0.1,0.16,190.1%
MIL 91, TOR 920.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.28,189.7%