NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	94		Excitement	8.9 [153]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (CHI): +44.8%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	4.0 [558]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): -24.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.04	-0.05	6	75%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	15	44%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	1	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.03	0.06	0.03	22	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.12,-0.21,-0.33,-0.13,-0.25	-0.13	-0.16	-0.03	24	39%	-0.04	4	-0.21	9	67%	-0.07

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.27,0.27,0.45	0.45	0.10	0.35	-0.00	11	71%	0.55	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	4	83%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	6	71%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	10	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	15	47%	-0.04	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.09	-0.05	16	37%	-0.11	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.0	29.0	14.8	27.2	2.5	31.3	128.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +24.3%

CHI +11.4%

CHI +32.8%

NOP -19.2%

CHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHI	NBA	NOP	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	14.9	96.9	100.0	105.1
season	14.3	14.8		104.3	103.7
opponent	14.9	15.0		105.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.9	14.3	14.7	16.0	14.1
CHI	15.8	15.7	14.1	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	27	26	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.07	9	-13	22	11.8	15.1	-3.28	17.4	14.7	2.72
Alexis Ajinca	53	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	3	-10	15.1	13.0	2.18	14.6	16.3	-1.67
Anthony Davis	85	87	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.36	8	-12	20	13.4	19.4	-6.02	15.3	16.1	-0.79
Kendrick Perkins	2	2	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-1	-2	12.0	14.2	-2.19	10.5	15.5	-4.99
Ish Smith	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	0	-4	16.2	13.4	2.82	16.6	15.0	1.68
Alonzo Gee	78	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-4	4	13.5	16.8	-3.35	15.2	16.0	-0.83
Eric Gordon	72	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-7	10	13.1	17.2	-4.12	15.1	16.4	-1.31
Norris Cole	42	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-2	0	14.4	14.0	0.42	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Tyreke Evans	70	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	9	-22	15.2	11.5	3.69	15.3	15.7	-0.36
Dante Cunningham	31	32	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.46	-11	7	-18	16.5	13.0	3.44	16.5	14.8	1.65

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	60	58	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.47	6	-2	8	15.8	14.7	1.15	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Kirk Hinrich	31	28	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	-3	10	15.3	15.4	-0.10	13.7	14.3	-0.65
Aaron Brooks	37	38	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	4	-4	16.5	14.7	1.85	14.5	13.9	0.54
Pau Gasol	65	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	1	2	14.8	16.5	-1.61	13.9	14.6	-0.65
Jimmy Butler	79	79	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	1	2	14.9	17.3	-2.39	13.8	15.6	-1.73
Doug McDermott	55	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	-2	8	15.5	15.2	0.36	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Derrick Rose	58	58	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	4	-4	15.6	15.0	0.57	14.3	13.9	0.46
Nikola Mirotic	35	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	5	-6	16.4	14.8	1.57	14.4	14.0	0.40
Taj Gibson	36	37	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.13	0	4	-4	14.6	15.8	-1.18	14.7	13.8	0.86
Tony Snell	34	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	8	-12	14.6	15.8	-1.18	14.9	13.7	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.37,0.44,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.37,0.77,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.4,0.25,0.45,0.44,0.42,1	89.9%
UTA 86, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.59,1	89.7%
UTA 95, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.3,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	89.5%