inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 101 Excitement12.1 [11] MVPEvan Fournier (ORL): +61.8%
Orlando Magic 104 Comeback8.4 [227] LVPTobias Harris (ORL): -24.6%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns0.240,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.240.050.17-0.021270%0.364-0.12683%0.07
Andrew Wiggins0.240,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.240.080.170.011758%0.352-0.111486%0.04
Kevin Martin0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.060.10-0.02760%0.1800.00683%0.00
Zach LaVine0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.010.00-0.00-0.021258%0.123-0.1000%0.00
Nemanja Bjelica-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00437%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shabazz Muhammad-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.070.00367%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Gorgui Dieng-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.04-0.00650%-0.011-0.04250%-0.01
Adreian Payne-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.0260%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Ricky Rubio-0.180,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.11-0.070.011133%-0.073-0.112100%0.05

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.620.620.110.50-0.011768%0.873-0.25475%-0.01
Elfrid Payton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.240.240.030.230.022347%0.271-0.03540%-0.03
Shabazz Napier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.01947%0.0300.001100%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.002100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00362%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.001331%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.040.001233%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.05-0.00538%0.012-0.103100%0.04
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.02-0.0166%-0.111-0.03425%-0.04
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.04-0.210.001537%-0.2500.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.22.525.415.528.42.446.22.416.4163.5
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.52.217.3136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +18.1%
MIN -21.9%
ORL +18.8%
ORL +12.6%
ORL +22.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINORLNBAMINORLNBA
this game14.715.614.996.299.0105.1
season14.814.6104.8103.6
opponent14.915.0105.2108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIN17.114.016.611.914.314.7
ORL16.416.713.415.417.115.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nemanja Bjelica36380.44-0.941.390.1510-132314.115.0-0.8515.815.50.31
Adreian Payne30280.06-0.560.620.060-3317.613.54.0216.815.21.63
Kevin Martin4443-0.07-0.430.36-0.225-81313.415.6-2.2515.515.6-0.09
Shabazz Muhammad3637-0.13-0.370.240.08-74-1114.914.60.2514.116.4-2.33
Tayshaun Prince5758-0.21-0.290.07-0.13-30-315.713.52.2415.715.50.14
Gorgui Dieng4544-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.14-52-714.315.0-0.6315.115.9-0.78
Ricky Rubio6867-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.450-3314.515.1-0.5516.014.81.26
Zach LaVine6264-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.480-3313.316.7-3.4715.316.1-0.83
Karl-Anthony Towns7372-0.650.15-0.79-0.44-74-1115.014.01.0415.815.20.64
Andrew Wiggins7474-0.720.22-0.94-0.48-85-1315.014.00.9915.715.30.43

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Nicholson46461.32-0.822.140.8217-143115.315.8-0.5913.215.9-2.67
Jason Smith57560.88-0.381.270.4216-132915.016.3-1.3313.316.2-2.91
Elfrid Payton79800.86-0.361.220.5112-92115.515.8-0.2415.412.33.12
Evan Fournier83860.73-0.230.970.4111-81915.715.30.4014.814.00.85
Tobias Harris85830.50-0.000.510.4712-115.516.0-0.5714.814.30.48
Channing Frye1314-0.020.52-0.54-0.144-1514.515.7-1.2017.114.32.82
Aaron Gordon2626-0.080.58-0.65-0.02-25-716.115.40.6515.014.60.46
Dewayne Dedmon1919-0.110.61-0.73-0.03-36-916.215.50.7616.914.22.69
Mario Hezonja1616-0.180.68-0.850.06-811-1916.615.41.1515.214.60.58
Nikola Vucevic2930-0.270.77-1.040.02-1013-2316.415.31.0915.814.21.59
Shabazz Napier3230-0.450.95-1.39-0.01-1518-3315.515.6-0.0912.515.6-3.12
Victor Oladipo4039-0.701.20-1.89-0.46-811-1915.815.40.3814.814.60.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.56,0.44,0.6,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.89,0.78,0.91,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 95, LAL 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.73,187.5%
POR 89, UTA 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.28,0.46,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.95,0.93,0.83,0.91,187.3%
SAS 100, NYK 1040.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.23,0.41,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.54,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.74,187.3%