NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	112		Excitement	6.9 [432]		MVP	Langston Galloway (NYK): +26.8%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	1.9 [55]		LVP	John Jenkins (ATL): -3.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.27	0.23	0.06	0.02	12	108%	0.37	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.22	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.11	0.10	-0.01	17	62%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Jason Smith	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	13	65%	0.21	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Quincy Acy	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.01	7	80%	0.19	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05
Shane Larkin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	56%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.09	0.05	-0.02	11	32%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Ledo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.05	-0.00	10	70%	0.22	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.06	-0.03	10	60%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	2	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	17	53%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	17	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.0	27.7	15.8	25.3	2.4	40.5	137.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +68.4%

ATL -9.5%

NYK +12.8%

ATL -25.5%

NYK +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	15.1	116.7	114.9	104.2
season	16.1	14.9		98.5	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.0		101.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	14.6	16.8	18.0	16.0
ATL	15.3	13.7	14.5	14.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	46	44	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.04	24	-20	44	16.8	15.2	1.52	14.9	13.8	1.13
Lance Thomas	65	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-1	6	16.4	15.2	1.19	14.4	14.1	0.38
Jason Smith	70	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.44	-1	5	-6	16.6	14.2	2.49	14.9	12.7	2.19
Tim Hardaway Jr.	71	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	7	-10	15.7	16.6	-0.91	15.0	12.5	2.58
Langston Galloway	63	62	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.37	-2	6	-8	16.4	15.2	1.25	14.9	13.2	1.68
Quincy Acy	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	1	2	15.0	17.2	-2.13	13.5	15.4	-1.88
Shane Larkin	44	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	0	4	16.5	15.6	0.90	13.7	14.9	-1.25
Ricky Ledo	18	19	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	0	4	15.1	16.2	-1.06	11.9	14.9	-3.05
Cleanthony Early	27	25	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	0	4	14.4	16.6	-2.12	13.7	14.6	-0.89
Cole Aldrich	22	22	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.17	-18	22	-40	14.5	16.4	-1.96	13.3	14.7	-1.38

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	47	47	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-7	10	14.9	13.7	1.17	15.8	16.1	-0.27
Elton Brand	31	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-6	8	13.3	14.8	-1.50	16.5	15.7	0.74
Shelvin Mack	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	1	-6	14.6	14.2	0.42	15.5	16.2	-0.76
Kent Bazemore	31	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	0	-4	15.4	13.8	1.58	16.0	16.0	-0.00
Jeff Teague	66	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.37	6	-10	16	14.1	14.8	-0.70	16.3	15.1	1.17
John Jenkins	21	20	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	7	-18	15.0	14.1	0.92	14.2	16.4	-2.23
Kyle Korver	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.49	6	-10	16	13.6	16.3	-2.69	16.1	15.7	0.43
DeMarre Carroll	63	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	0	-4	14.4	14.2	0.25	16.3	15.3	0.99
Mike Scott	44	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	7	-18	15.1	13.7	1.43	15.4	16.5	-1.15
Al Horford	66	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-2	0	13.9	15.4	-1.51	16.2	15.3	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 100, ATL 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	93.9%
MIL 101, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	93.4%
PHI 106, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	92.7%