NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	83		Excitement	5.7 [675]		MVP	Hollis Thompson (PHI): +12.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	1.5 [469]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -24.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	8	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Caron Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	5	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	16	53%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shawne Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	12	31%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.19	-0.07	-0.01	17	31%	-0.14	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	5	80%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	7	78%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	12	54%	0.05	3	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Furkan Aldemir	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	10	37%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	26.2	15.7	23.8	1.8	38.5	131.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +61.3%

DET -16.7%

DET -5.3%

PHI +9.1%

PHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.1	89.2	101.1	104.2
season	15.7	14.9		104.0	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.3		103.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.7	14.9	17.8	13.2	15.5
PHI	15.2	14.5	17.4	15.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	65	66	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-16	21	15.5	15.4	0.09	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Caron Butler	32	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.10	1	-12	13	17.9	14.2	3.63	16.1	15.2	0.94
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	69	69	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-9	7	15.6	15.2	0.33	15.3	16.0	-0.65
Shawne Williams	16	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-5	-1	14.9	15.6	-0.75	14.7	15.6	-0.95
Joel Anthony	29	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-3	-5	17.6	14.5	3.04	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Andre Drummond	64	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-8	5	14.5	17.6	-3.04	15.6	15.2	0.42
Spencer Dinwiddie	36	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-2	-7	16.1	15.1	1.05	15.9	15.2	0.65
Reggie Jackson	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.20	-4	-7	3	15.0	16.5	-1.58	15.7	15.1	0.61
Jodie Meeks	49	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	14.3	16.8	-2.47	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Tayshaun Prince	43	43	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.03	-20	9	-29	15.3	15.6	-0.31	15.4	15.5	-0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	50	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	4	3	15.4	15.6	-0.20	15.2	15.8	-0.61
Hollis Thompson	47	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-2	15	14.6	16.4	-1.77	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Robert Covington	41	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	2	7	15.7	15.3	0.38	16.5	14.6	1.88
Isaiah Canaan	43	42	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	6	-1	15.8	15.2	0.63	15.2	15.7	-0.47
Luc Mbah a Moute	49	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	4	3	15.9	15.0	0.98	15.8	15.2	0.59
Ish Smith	48	51	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	1	9	15.6	15.3	0.36	15.7	15.2	0.47
Furkan Aldemir	19	18	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	10	-9	16.5	15.2	1.32	13.3	16.0	-2.75
Nerlens Noel	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	9	-7	16.0	15.0	1.03	16.6	14.6	1.95
Jason Richardson	48	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	10	-9	15.9	15.0	0.87	15.1	15.9	-0.74
Thomas Robinson	34	34	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	5	1	13.8	16.4	-2.65	15.4	15.6	-0.22
JaKarr Sampson	45	43	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	17	-23	15.1	15.8	-0.66	15.1	15.8	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
ATL 73, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	93.9%
NJN 64, MIA 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%