NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	134		Excitement	12.4 [17]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +33.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	137		Comeback	7.7 [258]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (OKC): -22.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.24	0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.24	0.11	0.18	0.05	17	68%	0.32	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Marcus Morris	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.09	-0.00	11	75%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Miles Plumlee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.06	0.01	12	70%	0.13	1	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Alex Len	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.07	2	50%	0.01	2	0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.07	0.00	9	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Isaiah Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	43%	0.04	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Eric Bledsoe	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11	0.12	-0.25	-0.02	19	64%	0.02	3	-0.13	7	100%	0.05
Gerald Green	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.17	-0.01	-0.16	0.00	11	45%	-0.15	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.56,0.56,0.41,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.33	0.33	0.23	0.10	0.00	23	76%	0.63	5	-0.30	12	100%	0.10
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.03	0.20	-0.00	7	48%	0.23	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.10	0.00	5	67%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.08	0.02	13	56%	0.14	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.07
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	69%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	4	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22	-0.22	-0.01	-0.19	0.01	12	58%	-0.02	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	18	25%	-0.22	0	0.00	4	50%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	36.1	15.6	35.4	2.4	37.3	1.6	23.8	178.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -5.0%

OKC +39.5%

OKC +32.2%

PHX -25.0%

OKC +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	OKC	NBA	PHX	OKC	NBA
this game	13.3	14.9	15.1	118.6	121.2	104.2
season	14.4	14.5		103.7	105.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		103.5	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	15.8	11.9	12.0	13.9	13.2	13.3
OKC	14.8	15.3	14.3	16.1	12.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	46	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	13.5	13.1	0.32	15.3	14.6	0.76
Miles Plumlee	36	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	12.7	13.5	-0.76	13.9	15.3	-1.38
Isaiah Thomas	35	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	4	-11	13.7	13.1	0.65	14.1	15.2	-1.06
Marcus Morris	59	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-3	3	14.7	11.7	2.96	15.7	13.9	1.81
Eric Bledsoe	91	91	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.38	3	-6	9	12.6	16.1	-3.56	15.2	13.4	1.82
Gerald Green	51	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-3	3	14.2	12.5	1.77	15.3	14.5	0.73
Markieff Morris	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-1	-1	12.8	14.3	-1.53	14.7	15.2	-0.47
PJ Tucker	77	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	0	-3	12.5	14.8	-2.26	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Goran Dragic	94	94	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	1	-5	13.5	12.3	1.14	14.6	16.3	-1.67

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	86	87	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.22	12	-9	21	14.7	15.6	-0.94	13.0	14.0	-0.95
Steven Adams	54	55	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.50	-2	5	-7	16.6	13.3	3.36	14.1	12.4	1.68
Serge Ibaka	82	84	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.50	-2	5	-7	14.5	15.9	-1.37	13.0	14.1	-1.08
Ish Smith	25	23	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	-4	11	13.4	15.3	-1.90	13.2	13.3	-0.06
Kendrick Perkins	44	42	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	-5	13	14.2	15.3	-1.06	13.4	13.2	0.26
Anthony Morrow	59	57	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	4	-5	15.6	14.1	1.47	14.1	12.4	1.69
Reggie Jackson	86	87	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	3	-3	15.0	14.3	0.71	13.2	13.6	-0.45
Russell Westbrook	35	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	1	1	16.3	14.3	2.00	13.5	13.2	0.28
Perry Jones	55	54	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	13.4	16.2	-2.81	12.5	14.0	-1.54
Andre Roberson	39	41	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	7	-11	14.8	14.9	-0.16	13.0	13.4	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.63,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.57,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, BOS 100	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.84,1	89.8%
HOU 96, NOH 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.76,0.61,0.76,0.74,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.25,0.63,0.68,0.95,1	89.7%
NYK 104, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.85,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	88.8%