NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	7.5 [330]		MVP	Byron Mullens (PHI): +21.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	1.3 [1135]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -13.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.00	15	59%	0.21	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.14	-0.02	0.15	-0.01	17	47%	0.22	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.03
Carlos Boozer	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	9	60%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0.07	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	-0.00	8	76%	0.20	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.02
Tony Snell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.03	12	54%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Joakim Noah	-0.13	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	12	50%	-0.01	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	5	100%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	19	63%	0.19	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Varnado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Nunnally	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	16	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	17%	-0.07
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	16	44%	-0.03	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	0.01	-0.01	9	21%	-0.02	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.0	32.1	16.4	23.6	2.6	33.3	136.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +1.4%

CHI +25.3%

CHI +26.7%

PHI -7.7%

CHI +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	14.0	15.1	108.5	100.0	105.2
season	16.3	13.7		101.1	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.4	17.8	16.4	18.5	16.7
PHI	12.7	14.9	14.2	14.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	56	55	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-2	12	17.4	15.5	1.92	14.3	13.5	0.82
D.J. Augustin	63	62	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-1	10	17.4	15.1	2.35	14.0	13.8	0.19
Jimmy Butler	90	91	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-1	10	16.5	20.0	-3.48	14.0	13.7	0.31
Kirk Hinrich	49	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	4	0	16.4	16.9	-0.46	13.6	14.3	-0.70
Joakim Noah	75	75	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	7	-6	16.7	16.4	0.31	13.7	15.1	-1.43
Tony Snell	16	15	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	2	4	18.4	16.3	2.05	16.1	13.6	2.58
Nazr Mohammed	7	8	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	4	0	19.3	16.5	2.83	17.5	13.6	3.86
Carlos Boozer	50	50	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	7	-6	15.3	18.2	-2.84	13.5	14.5	-1.09
Mike Dunleavy	64	64	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	12	-16	15.9	18.4	-2.54	13.6	14.7	-1.03

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hollis Thompson	39	39	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-9	10	14.4	13.7	0.76	15.6	17.4	-1.76
Jarvis Varnado	32	33	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-13	18	12.7	14.6	-1.89	16.2	16.9	-0.66
Brandon Davies	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-7	6	18.0	13.7	4.31	15.3	16.8	-1.50
James Nunnally	40	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-6	4	13.6	14.2	-0.64	17.2	16.3	0.91
Henry Sims	46	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	0	-8	15.1	12.9	2.15	16.7	16.7	-0.04
Byron Mullens	27	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-9	10	13.7	14.1	-0.42	18.7	15.8	2.91
Michael Carter-Williams	75	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	-6	4	13.2	16.9	-3.67	16.4	17.9	-1.55
Tony Wroten	83	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	0	-8	14.0	13.4	0.68	16.9	14.9	1.99
Elliot Williams	45	44	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	5	-18	15.0	13.0	1.98	17.2	16.2	0.92
Thaddeus Young	77	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.24	-13	5	-18	13.6	15.5	-1.91	16.2	18.3	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.29,0.15,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 96, ORL 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.05,0,0,0	93.0%
CHA 102, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.04,0	92.9%
POR 102, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.23,0.02,0,0	92.6%