NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	83		Excitement	8.5 [182]		MVP	Patrick Patterson (SAC): +37.4%
Golden State Warriors	87		Comeback	3.6 [521]		LVP	John Salmons (SAC): -27.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.37,0.37	0.12	0.26	-0.00	10	75%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	13	59%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Isaiah Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	5	75%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12	-0.10	-0.08	-0.06	14	30%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	10	24%	-0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17	-0.02	-0.15	-0.00	9	50%	-0.09	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28	-0.11	-0.18	-0.01	9	28%	-0.08	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.35	0.35	0.03	0.29	-0.03	17	53%	0.43	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andris Biedrins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	14	59%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.05	-0.01	11	48%	0.15	6	-0.18	5	100%	0.04
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	14	37%	-0.12	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	27.4	15.7	28.2	2.4	32.0	131.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +7.6%

GSW +29.7%

GSW +5.1%

GSW +6.1%

GSW +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.4	86.5	92.6	104.1
season	15.0	14.6		104.7	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.6	14.8	15.5	14.3	14.8
GSW	14.2	16.5	14.5	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	28	26	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.10	11	-15	26	14.2	15.1	-0.88	17.7	14.7	2.95
Marcus Thornton	52	52	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.08	7	-11	18	14.5	15.1	-0.58	17.2	13.5	3.65
Patrick Patterson	54	52	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-19	34	14.2	15.5	-1.33	16.8	13.9	2.92
Isaiah Thomas	42	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	4	-12	15.2	14.5	0.73	13.6	17.0	-3.35
Toney Douglas	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-8	12	14.5	15.2	-0.73	17.0	13.6	3.35
John Salmons	76	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-2	0	14.7	15.1	-0.44	15.3	16.6	-1.33
DeMarcus Cousins	42	42	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	15	-34	15.5	14.2	1.33	13.9	16.8	-2.92
Jason Thompson	67	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	9	-22	15.3	13.7	1.59	14.9	17.0	-2.07
Tyreke Evans	65	62	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.47	-15	11	-26	14.9	14.6	0.28	14.2	18.0	-3.81

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	79	81	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.31	10	-6	16	14.8	19.5	-4.77	15.0	13.8	1.19
Klay Thompson	76	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	-5	14	14.4	20.4	-6.02	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Andrew Bogut	54	58	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	-5	14	14.9	16.3	-1.44	15.2	14.2	1.07
Harrison Barnes	51	54	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	-6	16	14.1	17.2	-3.11	15.2	14.3	0.92
Jarrett Jack	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	4	-4	16.9	13.1	3.83	14.5	15.2	-0.72
Stephen Curry	67	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	6	-8	15.0	16.7	-1.71	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Draymond Green	10	11	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	5	-6	19.5	15.0	4.45	15.2	14.8	0.43
Festus Ezeli	27	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	4	-4	15.8	15.4	0.36	16.3	14.3	1.99
Richard Jefferson	20	21	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	6	-8	18.2	14.8	3.40	13.8	15.1	-1.27
Andris Biedrins	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	6	-8	23.2	15.2	8.07	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Carl Landry	23	23	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.11	-11	15	-26	18.6	14.5	4.09	12.8	15.4	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.69,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 96, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.42,1	90.4%
LAL 109, SEA 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.53,1	90.2%
NJN 92, CHH 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.58,1	89.9%