NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	9.1 [118]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (GSW): +42.1%
New Orleans Hornets	112		Comeback	6.0 [122]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -19.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.42	0.12	0.31	0.01	13	68%	0.46	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.10
Klay Thompson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.22	0.02	0.03	16	85%	0.32	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	17	45%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
Charles Jenkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.05	-0.11	0.01	9	62%	0.07	1	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	2	40%	0.01	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Carl Landry	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	9	46%	-0.08	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	14	63%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.06	0.02	12	65%	0.16	1	-0.03	7	29%	-0.15
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	9	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	86%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	6	67%	0.14	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.12,0.24,0	0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.01	16	59%	0.13	3	-0.13	7	86%	0.08
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	10	40%	-0.09	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	26.6	15.6	26.1	2.5	44.6	139.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -16.2%

GSW +33.2%

GSW +9.0%

GSW +14.6%

GSW +9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOH	NBA	GSW	NOH	NBA
this game	14.8	15.2	15.4	120.8	116.7	104.1
season	14.6	16.3		104.6	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		108.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.8	14.7	16.8	13.5	14.8
NOH	15.8	16.7	15.9	12.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	78	80	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-7	18	14.6	16.1	-1.50	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Jarrett Jack	71	71	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.30	13	-9	22	14.9	14.8	0.10	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Klay Thompson	76	75	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	3	-2	14.9	14.4	0.48	15.5	14.0	1.43
Harrison Barnes	37	35	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.42	-2	6	-8	14.0	15.4	-1.36	15.6	14.9	0.64
Draymond Green	38	38	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.26	-2	6	-8	14.4	15.1	-0.73	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Andris Biedrins	10	9	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-4	12	16.0	14.7	1.30	14.1	15.3	-1.16
Carl Landry	74	75	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	6	-8	15.0	14.3	0.67	15.8	13.0	2.77
Charles Jenkins	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	6	-8	0.0	15.0	-14.99	3.0	15.3	-12.29
Kent Bazemore	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	6	-8	0.0	15.0	-14.99	3.0	15.3	-12.29
Jeremy Tyler	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	6	-8	0.0	15.0	-14.99	3.0	15.3	-12.29
Festus Ezeli	59	59	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	6	-8	15.4	13.9	1.58	15.5	14.6	0.84
Richard Jefferson	34	35	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.15	1	3	-2	16.2	14.1	2.08	15.7	14.9	0.82

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	70	68	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.09	7	-11	18	14.9	16.0	-1.14	15.5	13.2	2.34
Robin Lopez	38	37	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-8	12	16.6	14.2	2.42	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Xavier Henry	13	14	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.20	-5	1	-6	15.9	15.0	0.87	17.7	14.3	3.37
Austin Rivers	27	27	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-3	2	15.5	15.0	0.49	16.3	14.3	2.04
Lance Thomas	6	6	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-6	8	18.0	15.0	3.02	14.7	14.8	-0.18
Jason Smith	37	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.00	-8	4	-12	14.3	15.7	-1.41	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Anthony Davis	63	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.35	2	-6	8	15.2	15.2	0.02	14.7	15.2	-0.48
Roger Mason Jr.	38	39	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	1	-6	15.4	15.0	0.38	14.6	15.0	-0.41
Ryan Anderson	54	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.37	-6	2	-8	14.7	15.7	-1.02	15.2	14.3	0.83
Greivis Vasquez	69	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.50	-3	-1	-2	15.0	15.5	-0.49	14.2	16.6	-2.39
Eric Gordon	65	64	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.59	-7	3	-10	15.0	15.6	-0.66	13.7	17.0	-3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.73,0.82,0.71,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.32,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, CLE 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.58,0	87.9%
GSW 87, PHX 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.84,0.77,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.45,0.27,0	87.8%
CHA 93, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.69,0.54,0.53,0.39,0.63,0.68,0.72,0	87.4%