NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	107		Excitement	14.3 [4]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (DEN): +60.5%
Golden State Warriors	101		Comeback	22.2 [49]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -67.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.60	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.05,-0.05,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.6	-0.02	0.61	-0.01	22	46%	0.76	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.06	0.25	0.01	13	56%	0.34	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.09
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
JaVale McGee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	9	45%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	-0.00	14	41%	-0.01	1	-0.21	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.24	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.33,-0.39,-0.46,-0.46,-0.29,-0.24	-0.09	-0.20	-0.05	24	37%	-0.16	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Ty Lawson	-0.67	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.63,-0.67,-0.67,-0.67	-0.22	-0.44	0.01	13	28%	-0.14	6	-0.53	6	50%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.2,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.00	14	63%	0.35	2	-0.14	7	57%	-0.04
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13	0.13	-0.02	0.16	0.00	17	53%	0.25	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Charles Jenkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	19	41%	-0.00	2	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	6	17%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	11	36%	-0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.06,-0.09,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	26	43%	-0.09	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	28.0	15.4	24.7	2.7	36.0	1.5	18.3	0.3	18.9	170.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +45.1%

DEN +7.0%

DEN +46.1%

GSW -53.5%

DEN +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	GSW	NBA	DEN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	15.9	15.4	92.2	89.4	104.1
season	14.4	14.6		108.4	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		103.7	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DEN	13.6	13.4	16.5	15.7	13.9	14.5
GSW	17.7	12.2	17.8	16.3	16.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	62	64	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.59	16	-10	26	13.4	15.8	-2.38	14.1	18.2	-4.09
Kenneth Faried	92	90	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.13	19	-13	32	14.2	15.9	-1.75	17.1	11.2	5.91
Andre Iguodala	91	89	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-1	8	14.8	13.6	1.23	17.2	10.9	6.31
Ty Lawson	97	93	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	4	-2	14.8	13.3	1.45	16.2	14.4	1.80
Danilo Gallinari	96	93	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.49	-7	13	-20	15.1	11.8	3.23	15.7	16.8	-1.11
Kosta Koufos	48	46	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	3	0	15.2	14.1	1.09	16.8	15.3	1.55
Corey Brewer	50	47	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	8	-10	12.7	15.9	-3.24	13.4	17.7	-4.25
JaVale McGee	44	43	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.29	-8	14	-22	16.0	13.7	2.30	14.7	16.6	-1.92

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	92	98	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.06	12	-18	30	16.1	14.8	1.38	14.8	13.3	1.48
Carl Landry	72	71	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-9	12	15.6	16.4	-0.83	15.0	13.7	1.29
Charles Jenkins	3	1	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.15	-2	-4	2	7.0	16.1	-9.13	9.0	14.6	-5.57
Kent Bazemore	0	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-6	6	0.0	15.9	-15.88	1.0	14.8	-13.76
Harrison Barnes	34	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-5	4	17.6	15.2	2.44	15.7	14.0	1.70
Draymond Green	9	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.26	-12	6	-18	14.4	16.0	-1.57	6.2	15.1	-8.89
Andris Biedrins	38	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-3	0	15.7	16.0	-0.34	14.2	14.7	-0.44
Festus Ezeli	18	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	7	-20	18.6	15.4	3.24	14.9	14.5	0.49
Richard Jefferson	46	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	0	-6	15.0	16.5	-1.46	14.9	14.3	0.57
Klay Thompson	106	108	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-10	14	15.9	15.6	0.33	15.0	8.5	6.47
Jarrett Jack	66	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.59	-1	-5	4	15.2	16.9	-1.65	13.7	15.7	-1.98
Stephen Curry	70	76	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.56	-5	-1	-4	16.2	15.4	0.79	14.7	14.1	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.53,0.32,0.54,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.72,0.9,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, ORL 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.15,0.09,0	86.6%
BOS 102, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.01,0	86.3%
BOS 97, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.02,0	86.1%