NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	87		Excitement	9.0 [112]		MVP	Raymond Felton (POR): +30.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	6.6 [292]		LVP	Charles Jenkins (GSW): -24.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19	0.01	0.17	-0.01	12	48%	0.21	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.06
Dominic McGuire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Benson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.08	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Mickell Gladness	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.04,0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18	-0.02	-0.15	0.01	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.22	2	100%	0.01
Charles Jenkins	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,-0.01,-0.24	0.05	-0.27	0.02	22	61%	-0.12	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.4,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.11	0.18	-0.01	17	63%	0.32	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.22	0.22	0.00	0.22	0.01	12	53%	0.29	2	-0.07	10	60%	0.03
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Nolan Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.10	0.01	16	52%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	10	18%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	12	33%	-0.17	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	26.3	14.6	24.2	2.5	32.3	126.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +11.8%

GSW -0.8%

POR +7.2%

POR +31.7%

POR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	16.8	15.6	97.8	101.1	102.8
season	15.2	15.7		103.6	104.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.7	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.3	12.6	17.4	16.2	15.5
POR	15.7	15.5	16.9	19.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Benson	7	7	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.09	8	-11	19	15.4	15.5	-0.10	17.4	16.8	0.64
Mickell Gladness	9	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	15.2	15.5	-0.33	14.0	17.1	-3.12
Jeremy Tyler	15	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	2	-7	17.9	15.0	2.91	18.1	16.6	1.56
Dominic McGuire	38	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	0	-3	14.9	16.0	-1.04	16.5	17.1	-0.55
Richard Jefferson	66	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.46	8	-11	19	14.7	17.8	-3.06	17.3	15.7	1.55
Charles Jenkins	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-6	9	15.8	14.2	1.58	17.1	15.8	1.26
Dorell Wright	24	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	8	-19	17.9	14.6	3.23	15.1	17.5	-2.45
Klay Thompson	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-1	-1	15.2	16.3	-1.12	17.1	16.3	0.73
Brandon Rush	76	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.49	1	-4	5	15.3	17.0	-1.74	17.0	16.1	0.83
David Lee	76	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.32	-11	8	-19	15.6	15.2	0.34	16.7	18.0	-1.34

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	64	63	0.95	-0.45	1.39	0.51	15	-12	27	16.0	19.0	-3.06	16.3	13.7	2.63
Nicolas Batum	65	66	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.35	15	-12	27	16.4	18.0	-1.58	16.2	13.5	2.75
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	3	-3	16.8	16.9	-0.12	15.3	16.1	-0.75
Wesley Matthews	66	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	3	-3	17.1	16.1	0.96	16.2	13.6	2.63
Jamal Crawford	50	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.44	-8	11	-19	17.8	15.7	2.09	14.9	16.3	-1.41
Kurt Thomas	25	28	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	-1	5	16.6	17.0	-0.39	15.8	15.4	0.44
Joel Przybilla	28	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	0	3	16.9	16.8	0.07	16.3	15.2	1.17
Luke Babbitt	20	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	4	-5	14.3	17.6	-3.28	13.2	16.2	-3.00
JJ Hickson	32	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	8	-13	18.2	16.1	2.05	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Nolan Smith	23	24	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	11	-19	18.4	16.3	2.15	13.2	16.4	-3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.74,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.31,0.39,0.67,0.39,0.21,0.57,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 88, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.76,0.59,1	89.9%
DAL 105, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.23,0.45,0.42,1	89.6%
DAL 91, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.81,0.72,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	89.1%