NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	103		Excitement	10.9 [35]		MVP	Tony Allen (MEM): +52.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	104		Comeback	5.6 [274]		LVP	David Lee (GSW): -33.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.51	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.2,0.51	0.15	0.34	-0.02	22	59%	0.58	1	-0.07	12	75%	0.10
Stephen Curry	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.22	0.26	-0.01	0.03	21	78%	0.43	2	-0.21	4	100%	0.07
Ekpe Udoh	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.14	-0.02	0.15	-0.01	2	62%	0.21	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.09
Brandon Rush	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	7	57%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Dominic McGuire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	5	20%	-0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	7	0%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.18,-0.06,-0.33	-0.07	-0.28	-0.02	13	44%	0.10	3	-0.43	6	67%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.53	0.53	0.04	0.49	0.00	3	79%	0.59	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.10
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	9	68%	0.17	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.07
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.10	-0.02	9	60%	0.19	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.04
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	12	69%	0.28	3	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	15	48%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.05,0.08,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	16	49%	-0.05	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.35

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	29.3	16.5	29.5	2.4	41.6	146.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +38.7%

GSW -48.4%

MEM +26.1%

MEM +38.3%

GSW -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.6	109.6	110.6	102.8
season	15.2	15.6		103.6	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		100.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.6	15.3	16.7	14.0	15.6
MEM	14.7	16.7	14.6	14.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	79	79	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.18	8	-9	17	15.6	15.6	0.01	15.3	13.7	1.55
Klay Thompson	20	20	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.22	9	-10	19	15.0	15.8	-0.77	15.4	14.9	0.53
Nate Robinson	13	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	5	-11	17.0	15.4	1.62	12.8	15.4	-2.54
Andris Biedrins	36	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.28	-14	13	-27	15.9	15.4	0.50	14.7	15.2	-0.46
Ekpe Udoh	44	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.68	15	-16	31	15.5	15.7	-0.20	15.8	14.4	1.44
Dominic McGuire	24	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.57	10	-11	21	15.4	15.7	-0.31	16.0	14.7	1.24
Brandon Rush	53	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.84	11	-12	23	15.1	16.2	-1.13	15.1	14.9	0.23
Monta Ellis	82	83	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.31	-10	9	-19	15.6	15.5	0.12	14.9	15.7	-0.79
David Lee	68	68	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.19	-14	13	-27	15.6	15.6	-0.01	14.9	15.3	-0.43
Dorell Wright	52	51	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.25	-16	15	-31	15.7	15.4	0.32	14.2	16.0	-1.78

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	63	62	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.66	-7	8	-15	14.9	15.3	-0.43	15.1	16.5	-1.35
Quincy Pondexter	19	19	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-9	19	13.1	15.5	-2.41	16.2	15.5	0.69
Dante Cunningham	38	37	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	-7	15	14.5	15.4	-0.94	16.0	15.4	0.65
Mike Conley	69	70	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	-4	9	15.1	15.0	0.10	15.4	16.2	-0.75
Hamed Haddadi	17	15	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	-6	13	14.1	15.2	-1.19	16.4	15.5	0.94
Tony Allen	51	52	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	-1	3	14.7	15.4	-0.76	15.4	15.9	-0.54
Rudy Gay	69	71	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	5	-9	15.3	14.2	1.13	15.4	16.2	-0.81
Marc Gasol	74	75	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.40	-9	10	-19	15.2	14.2	0.99	15.2	17.2	-2.01
Jeremy Pargo	25	24	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	5	-9	15.0	15.1	-0.10	16.2	15.4	0.75
Marreese Speights	45	45	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.20	-3	4	-7	16.5	13.7	2.75	16.7	14.6	2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.23,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.33,0.45,0.78,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, TOR 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.58,1	90.5%
TOR 109, BKN 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.42,1	88.5%
ORL 100, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.54,0.78,0.61,0.63,0.89,0.73,1	88.1%