inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 93 Excitement8.1 [196] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +18.0%
Miami Heat 97 Comeback1.1 [676] LVPRichard Hamilton (CHI): -30.0%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00675%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Taj Gibson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.020.00667%0.082-0.0500%0.00
Ronnie Brewer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.01850%-0.0100.00450%-0.03
Omer Asik-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
John Lucas III-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Joakim Noah-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.030.01661%0.032-0.07650%-0.03
Carlos Boozer-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07-0.00-0.060.011050%-0.011-0.0600%0.00
Derrick Rose-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.10.02-0.13-0.012849%-0.052-0.051486%-0.19
Richard Hamilton-0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3-0.19-0.110.001631%-0.115-0.19475%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.180.180.140.050.021467%0.1800.008100%0.04
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.07-0.001150%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00383%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Eddy Curry00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02729%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.00631%-0.0300.00475%-0.03
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00733%-0.041-0.041100%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,-0.14-0.140.02-0.17-0.002357%0.036-0.171567%-0.19
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.16-0.03-0.021636%-0.024-0.151070%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.83.432.519.529.43.544.6160.7
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +23.5%
MIA +0.3%
CHI -2.3%
MIA +10.0%
MIA +18.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMIANBACHIMIANBA
this game14.015.615.694.9100.0102.8
season16.015.5104.7105.6
opponent15.815.998.897.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI15.514.512.613.314.0
MIA13.914.316.917.215.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taj Gibson6159-0.14-0.360.21-0.357-111813.015.6-2.5315.914.91.00
Omer Asik1211-0.18-0.320.14-0.00-62-812.314.2-1.8920.315.05.32
John Lucas III77-0.19-0.310.120.05-84-1216.613.82.7814.415.6-1.22
Joakim Noah6768-0.20-0.300.10-0.11-3-1-214.812.32.4914.518.1-3.63
Kyle Korver3231-0.20-0.300.10-0.14-2-2014.713.70.9918.114.43.69
Derrick Rose9190-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.434-81213.816.6-2.7815.614.41.22
Richard Hamilton7677-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.382-6813.914.4-0.4814.718.9-4.27
Ronnie Brewer8886-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.24-84-1213.815.3-1.4615.416.5-1.01
Carlos Boozer5556-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.30-62-814.713.11.6415.515.6-0.05

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James84860.52-0.020.540.4331215.416.7-1.3113.716.1-2.39
Udonis Haslem67660.500.000.500.297-31016.014.51.5313.714.6-0.90
Mario Chalmers64650.480.020.470.316-2814.617.3-2.6914.013.90.12
Dwyane Wade65640.390.110.280.245-1614.717.4-2.7114.113.80.25
Chris Bosh76760.370.130.250.2931214.818.1-3.3014.312.91.39
Mike Miller27280.260.240.030.067-31017.015.02.0515.013.61.41
Shane Battier36370.180.32-0.130.21-15-617.314.52.8313.314.4-1.11
Joel Anthony30320.000.50-0.500.09-37-1014.516.0-1.5314.613.70.90
Eddy Curry44-0.070.57-0.650.01-37-1018.015.52.558.714.2-5.46
Norris Cole3232-0.140.64-0.78-0.02-48-1217.814.43.3714.313.80.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.7,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 115, UTA 1190.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.83,0.89,0.99,0.99,193.0%
PHI 98, LAC 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,192.9%
DEN 98, SAC 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.75,0.81,0.93,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.93,0.84,0.99,1,192.6%