NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	4.0 [1065]		MVP	David West (NOH): +16.2%
New Orleans Hornets	108		Comeback	1.5 [1132]		LVP	Mo Williams (CLE): -8.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.10	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Joey Graham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	8	67%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Daniel Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	8	44%	-0.01	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.01	0.03	20	72%	0.19	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.00	11	69%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	68%	0.09	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	7	21%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	12	24%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	0.8	27.2	15.6	28.0	1.6	44.4	145.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +49.7%

CLE -3.5%

CLE -7.5%

NOH +8.6%

NOH +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOH	NBA	CLE	NOH	NBA
this game	13.5	15.9	15.5	102.0	111.3	105.7
season	15.1	16.2		100.8	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.4		104.4	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.7	15.8	13.1	12.7	13.5
NOH	14.4	14.8	16.3	18.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jawad Williams	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-11	15	15.8	13.3	2.46	19.1	15.5	3.58
Daniel Gibson	62	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.41	11	-18	29	12.9	14.6	-1.68	16.6	14.8	1.77
Joey Graham	41	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-6	5	13.5	13.6	-0.10	15.1	16.4	-1.23
Antawn Jamison	57	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-14	21	13.0	14.3	-1.24	16.3	15.2	1.12
Ryan Hollins	34	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-6	5	14.8	12.9	1.86	15.2	16.2	-0.92
Ramon Sessions	55	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.37	7	-14	21	13.1	14.2	-1.10	16.7	14.8	1.88
Mo Williams	44	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	7	-21	14.2	13.1	1.10	14.8	16.7	-1.88
Anderson Varejao	65	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-1	-5	12.9	14.8	-1.86	16.2	15.2	0.92
JJ Hickson	40	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	6	-19	14.5	12.9	1.60	15.2	16.3	-1.09
Jamario Moon	38	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	8	-23	14.3	13.1	1.25	15.3	16.3	-0.99
Anthony Parker	50	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	7	-21	13.2	13.9	-0.66	15.5	16.3	-0.80

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	74	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	4	-1	15.9	15.8	0.11	13.0	15.3	-2.36
David West	65	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	3	1	15.2	17.2	-2.02	14.1	12.5	1.64
Marco Belinelli	65	66	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	4	-1	15.9	15.7	0.22	12.8	14.9	-2.09
Chris Paul	70	71	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	2	3	15.8	16.1	-0.39	13.0	15.0	-2.08
Emeka Okafor	58	56	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	5	-3	16.9	14.3	2.69	13.5	13.6	-0.02
Jason Smith	28	29	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	-1	9	14.4	16.4	-2.02	13.6	13.5	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	27	28	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	5	-3	16.1	15.8	0.39	15.0	13.0	2.08
Willie Green	44	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.23	-2	9	-11	16.0	15.7	0.29	13.2	13.9	-0.71
Quincy Pondexter	26	27	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	1	5	16.6	15.6	0.97	14.7	13.1	1.64
DJ Mbenga	3	4	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	1	5	12.7	16.0	-3.30	14.2	13.5	0.73
Peja Stojakovic	25	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	9	-11	15.8	15.9	-0.09	14.9	13.1	1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 100, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DET 89, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	96.2%
HOU 87, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%