NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	100		Excitement	6.5 [480]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +30.3%
Houston Rockets	108		Comeback	5.1 [373]		LVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): -7.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.19	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.02	30	65%	0.29	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.01	6	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Julian Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	15	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Marcus Thornton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.23	0.11	0.03	12	87%	0.32	1	-0.01	7	86%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.09	-0.01	12	80%	0.29	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	16	45%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.00	2	87%	0.11	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.00	15	41%	0.08	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	26.4	17.6	28.0	1.6	37.2	136.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.3%

HOU +8.8%

HOU +2.2%

NOH -1.4%

HOU +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	HOU	NBA	NOH	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	16.6	15.3	109.9	121.3	106.0
season	15.5	15.0		106.0	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.2	17.4	12.6	15.5	15.4
HOU	17.3	16.9	18.7	13.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	59	57	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.02	12	-20	32	13.8	18.2	-4.39	16.6	16.6	0.02
Emeka Okafor	58	57	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.09	8	-16	24	15.4	15.4	-0.03	17.2	15.7	1.44
Marcus Thornton	15	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.10	3	-11	14	17.1	15.0	2.03	17.2	16.5	0.67
Julian Wright	11	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-5	2	19.0	14.9	4.12	15.7	16.8	-1.04
David West	75	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-8	8	14.8	17.9	-3.03	16.8	15.9	0.93
Devin Brown	36	36	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	2	-12	15.4	15.3	0.12	15.6	17.4	-1.82
Chris Paul	82	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	3	-14	15.0	18.3	-3.28	16.7	16.5	0.16
Darren Collison	30	29	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.15	-16	8	-24	17.0	14.6	2.43	16.3	16.8	-0.54
James Posey	32	32	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.29	-20	12	-32	18.2	13.8	4.39	16.6	16.6	-0.02
Darius Songaila	34	33	-0.90	0.40	-1.31	-0.29	-21	13	-34	15.8	15.1	0.72	15.4	17.4	-1.93

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	53	55	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.17	21	-13	34	15.1	18.9	-3.78	16.1	14.3	1.77
David Andersen	22	22	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.24	18	-10	28	16.1	16.8	-0.73	18.8	14.3	4.48
Carl Landry	65	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-5	18	16.2	17.8	-1.63	15.7	14.3	1.41
Shane Battier	80	82	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	4	0	16.6	16.7	-0.03	15.4	15.1	0.29
Aaron Brooks	66	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	2	4	17.0	15.5	1.51	15.8	14.1	1.63
Trevor Ariza	72	72	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	16.8	15.8	1.01	14.2	19.6	-5.38
Luis Scola	59	59	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	14	-20	17.6	14.8	2.73	14.6	16.8	-2.27
Charles Hayes	28	29	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.04	-12	20	-32	17.6	16.2	1.46	14.0	16.0	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.9,0.72,0.94,0.96,1	91.2%
SAS 85, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	91.2%
PHX 102, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.85,1	90.7%