inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 83 Excitement2.8 [1211] MVPJamal Crawford (ATL): +12.1%
Atlanta Hawks 118 Comeback1.4 [1212] LVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): -10.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.00-0.03950%0.041-0.012100%0.01
Taj Gibson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01861%0.021-0.00250%0.00
James Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.130.000.13777%0.0000.008100%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Gray0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0840%0.001-0.0000%0.00
John Salmons-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.010.05973%0.064-0.09475%-0.00
Brad Miller-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03629%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Derrick Rose-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.041846%0.005-0.045100%0.02
Joakim Noah-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.04417%-0.042-0.03450%-0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.20-0.01-0.1090%-0.083-0.0300%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.220.010.111678%0.121-0.005100%0.01
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.000.071262%0.0300.00580%0.01
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.031050%0.031-0.01475%0.01
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.02-0.00-0.03747%0.002-0.00367%0.00
Jason Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01233%0.0000.0020%0.00
Randolph Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02260%0.0000.001100%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.020.02350%0.011-0.02475%-0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.19-0.000.208100%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Mike Bibby0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.100.00-0.071637%0.013-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.02.835.018.726.02.835.0150.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +19.0%
ATL +1.5%
ATL +15.0%
ATL +14.8%
CHI -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIATLNBACHIATLNBA
this game15.614.115.386.5120.4106.0
season14.716.0101.9109.4
opponent15.815.7106.0103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.817.315.015.415.6
ATL15.214.711.215.914.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lindsey Hunter14140.00-0.500.500.09-3-322915.715.60.1516.613.72.86
Aaron Gray15160.00-0.500.500.12-4-312715.115.7-0.5316.913.63.36
Jannero Pargo2323-0.00-0.500.500.15-5-302515.415.6-0.2015.913.62.28
Taj Gibson3740-0.13-0.370.240.31-15-20514.816.1-1.3413.214.7-1.47
James Johnson3839-0.18-0.320.140.23-14-21716.015.30.6514.214.10.14
Kirk Hinrich4548-0.27-0.23-0.040.23-17-18115.116.0-0.8513.215.0-1.87
Joakim Noah6162-0.28-0.22-0.060.37-22-13-915.515.7-0.2113.415.3-1.91
Derrick Rose6566-0.32-0.18-0.150.32-22-13-915.715.40.2413.715.0-1.35
Luol Deng6666-0.35-0.15-0.190.30-22-13-915.715.40.2713.715.1-1.44
Brad Miller4444-0.47-0.03-0.440.17-22-13-915.915.30.6414.613.70.85
John Salmons7272-0.50-0.00-0.500.35-29-6-2315.914.61.2814.712.52.16

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Johnson59590.390.110.28-0.2823121114.014.3-0.3516.114.71.43
Josh Smith52520.390.110.28-0.432872113.215.1-1.9015.915.20.74
Mike Bibby39380.340.160.17-0.101520-514.314.00.2715.715.50.25
Marvin Williams50490.320.180.14-0.4125101514.114.1-0.0016.015.20.77
Al Horford49480.320.180.13-0.3623121113.714.5-0.8216.015.20.83
Jamal Crawford70690.220.28-0.06-0.372015514.214.00.1715.416.1-0.68
Jeff Teague46440.180.32-0.14-0.261520-514.214.10.1415.016.0-0.99
Zaza Pachulia32310.180.32-0.14-0.09926-1713.914.2-0.2715.515.6-0.15
Maurice Evans50470.100.40-0.30-0.281322-914.014.2-0.2114.716.4-1.73
Joe Smith17170.070.43-0.360.13-237-3914.614.00.5614.615.8-1.14
Jason Collins12120.000.50-0.50-0.06233-3116.713.82.9015.715.60.10
Randolph Morris14140.000.50-0.50-0.12431-2716.613.72.8615.715.60.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 96, ATL 1210.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
GSW 75, MEM 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
WAS 72, SAS 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%