NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	87		Excitement	6.4 [497]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +33.5%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	1.5 [1170]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -17.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.18	0.14	-0.01	15	81%	0.41	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.03	0.04	13	76%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	58%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	14	34%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Bobby Brown	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	12	33%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.14	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	9	25%	-0.06	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.02	0.02	14	79%	0.27	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.02	15	57%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.09	-0.02	10	60%	0.21	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	15	47%	0.09	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	26.5	16.3	24.5	2.4	29.6	128.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.4%

NOH -0.6%

BOS +11.8%

NOH -6.3%

BOS +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	BOS	NBA	NOH	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.3	94.6	106.6	106.0
season	15.5	15.5		106.0	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.2		102.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.1	18.1	14.4	16.4	15.6
BOS	13.6	15.3	15.6	19.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-13	16	15.3	15.7	-0.40	15.3	16.1	-0.83
Hilton Armstrong	38	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-6	2	14.7	16.3	-1.55	16.2	15.6	0.65
Bobby Brown	41	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-3	-4	14.4	16.6	-2.26	16.3	15.6	0.70
Julian Wright	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-5	0	16.2	15.2	0.92	14.4	16.9	-2.56
Darius Songaila	21	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-5	0	16.6	15.3	1.23	18.5	15.1	3.39
Chris Paul	70	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-9	8	15.6	15.8	-0.26	15.9	15.7	0.25
David West	71	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-5	0	15.3	16.6	-1.23	15.1	18.5	-3.39
Emeka Okafor	54	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-4	-2	16.3	14.7	1.55	15.6	16.2	-0.65
James Posey	38	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	-1	-8	16.3	15.1	1.14	17.0	15.0	1.96
Peja Stojakovic	60	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	1	-12	15.9	15.1	0.85	16.0	15.5	0.50

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	76	77	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.28	16	-6	22	15.6	17.1	-1.53	16.4	11.7	4.64
Kendrick Perkins	66	65	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-1	12	15.3	17.3	-2.02	16.0	14.7	1.24
Rajon Rondo	69	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	4	2	15.2	18.0	-2.77	15.8	15.0	0.81
Kevin Garnett	64	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	7	-4	14.8	18.4	-3.57	15.9	15.0	0.89
Paul Pierce	72	71	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.11	3	7	-4	15.7	16.5	-0.85	15.0	17.8	-2.78
Eddie House	22	22	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	6	-2	18.0	15.2	2.77	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Shelden Williams	19	19	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	8	-6	18.9	15.0	3.91	15.7	15.6	0.15
Rasheed Wallace	33	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	6	-2	17.2	15.1	2.17	14.4	16.4	-1.98
Marquis Daniels	34	36	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	9	-8	16.8	15.3	1.50	15.2	15.9	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.92,1,1,1	93.6%
SAS 79, ATL 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.92,1	92.9%
HOU 108, CHH 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.63,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	92.7%