NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	7.4 [345]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +26.5%
Orlando Magic	110		Comeback	1.5 [1212]		LVP	Al Harrington (NYK): -17.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15	0.18	0.00	0.03	20	66%	0.24	2	-0.09	10	90%	0.04
Chris Wilcox	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	59%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Wilson Chandler	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	19	60%	0.17	6	-0.22	7	86%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	9	44%	-0.03	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	36%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	11	33%	-0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.18	-0.02	13	67%	0.33	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.09	-0.00	18	73%	0.29	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	71%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	58%	0.05	4	-0.09	12	58%	-0.06
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	29.2	16.4	28.0	2.6	40.6	144.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +61.9%

NYK -9.7%

NYK -26.0%

ORL +23.8%

ORL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.3	15.5	105.1	112.2	106.4
season	13.8	15.3		106.2	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.4	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.1	15.7	13.8	13.9	14.1
ORL	14.6	15.6	14.5	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	66	65	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-7	7	14.3	13.7	0.55	14.3	17.3	-2.98
Nate Robinson	69	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-9	11	14.2	13.7	0.52	16.0	13.7	2.28
Chris Wilcox	38	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-4	1	14.4	13.9	0.58	15.9	14.9	1.02
Jared Jeffries	69	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-4	1	13.7	15.0	-1.24	15.0	15.9	-0.85
Larry Hughes	29	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	8	-23	14.0	14.1	-0.13	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Al Harrington	78	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-6	5	14.1	14.1	-0.07	15.4	14.8	0.56
Quentin Richardson	73	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-4	1	14.0	14.4	-0.36	15.5	14.6	0.93
Wilson Chandler	68	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	5	-17	14.1	14.1	-0.01	15.4	15.1	0.32

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	75	73	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.21	17	-10	27	15.1	16.0	-0.86	14.0	14.5	-0.52
Rashard Lewis	80	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	0	7	15.2	15.6	-0.32	14.1	14.0	0.11
Courtney Lee	87	86	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	3	1	15.1	16.5	-1.41	14.2	13.7	0.48
Rafer Alston	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-3	13	15.1	15.7	-0.67	14.4	13.4	1.00
Marcin Gortat	36	35	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	4	-1	16.3	14.7	1.64	14.0	14.1	-0.14
JJ Redick	29	31	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.08	12	-5	17	15.1	15.4	-0.32	15.4	13.5	1.89
Dwight Howard	62	63	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	3	1	14.7	16.3	-1.64	14.1	14.0	0.14
Anthony Johnson	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	10	-13	15.7	15.1	0.67	13.4	14.4	-1.00
Mickael Pietrus	23	23	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.16	-19	26	-45	17.0	14.8	2.28	12.5	14.6	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.97,0.96,1	93.4%
MIA 80, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.9,0.91,1	93.0%
SAC 87, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.98,1	92.7%