NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	89		Excitement	7.5 [336]		MVP	Mike James (WAS): +27.4%
Washington Wizards	96		Comeback	14.8 [85]		LVP	Darius Songaila (WAS): -19.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.08	0.01	6	100%	0.23	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.00	14	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0,0	0.02	-0.06	-0.04	14	53%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	19	40%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	11	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jared Jeffries	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	15	41%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.20	0.01	13	73%	0.40	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.03	0.02	16	67%	0.23	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.05
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	14	46%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	11	39%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	10	20%	-0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.7	26.0	15.7	25.4	2.5	31.4	127.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +38.6%

WAS +8.6%

WAS +2.1%

WAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	16.9	15.5	97.8	105.5	106.4
season	13.8	15.9		106.2	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		111.7	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.2	16.2	14.6	16.5	14.7
WAS	16.6	19.0	16.7	15.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	41	40	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.06	2	-9	11	16.5	13.3	3.26	18.4	15.7	2.67
Nate Robinson	39	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	0	-7	14.7	14.8	-0.14	15.7	18.0	-2.29
Jared Jeffries	74	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-8	9	14.9	14.2	0.63	17.8	13.8	3.97
David Lee	81	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-4	1	13.9	21.4	-7.47	17.1	15.3	1.74
Chris Duhon	81	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-4	1	14.1	20.1	-6.01	16.7	18.6	-1.91
Wilson Chandler	74	73	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.40	-11	4	-15	15.4	12.0	3.38	16.4	18.9	-2.55
Al Harrington	65	66	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.36	-14	7	-21	14.7	15.0	-0.30	16.4	18.1	-1.68

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	70	68	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-5	17	17.0	16.4	0.61	14.9	14.4	0.42
Nick Young	70	68	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-4	15	16.6	17.8	-1.12	14.8	14.6	0.24
Mike James	71	70	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-1	9	16.5	18.5	-2.05	13.6	18.6	-5.03
Darius Songaila	59	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	0	7	16.3	18.1	-1.84	15.0	14.4	0.60
Caron Butler	81	81	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	4	-1	16.7	18.6	-1.91	14.1	20.1	-6.01
Juan Dixon	6	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	5	-3	17.2	16.9	0.28	22.4	14.1	8.32
JaVale McGee	6	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	5	-3	17.2	16.9	0.28	22.4	14.1	8.32
Javaris Crittenton	20	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.08	-1	8	-9	18.5	16.5	2.05	17.9	13.8	4.11
Dominic McGuire	21	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	11	-15	17.8	16.6	1.12	15.1	14.6	0.51
Andray Blatche	51	52	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.06	-5	12	-17	17.7	15.8	1.88	13.3	16.6	-3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.82,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.21,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.31,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 65, BOS 70	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.43,0.85,1	90.6%
DET 112, POR 117	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.33,0.97,1	89.3%
CHA 94, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.13,0.47,0.22,0.67,0.85,1	89.0%