inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 112 Excitement8.5 [157] MVPMike Dunleavy (IND): +25.1%
Denver Nuggets 110 Comeback3.7 [139] LVPDanny Granger (IND): -14.5%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy0.250,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.130.130.011968%0.282-0.03667%-0.02
Shawne Williams0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.070.080.020.041262%0.071-0.011070%-0.03
Troy Murphy0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.01-0.02671%0.083-0.042100%0.02
Kareem Rush0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Foster-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01650%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Travis Diener-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.02-0.051644%0.024-0.08250%-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.021154%0.116-0.18667%0.01
David Harrison-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.01629%-0.052-0.0620%-0.03
Danny Granger-0.140,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.05-0.021141%0.025-0.1700%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.060.02-0.001265%0.122-0.032100%0.02
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.03-0.032149%0.144-0.12967%-0.02
Bobby Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.011347%0.011-0.034100%0.02
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.0120%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08-0.080.01-0.080.011052%-0.032-0.05580%-0.16
Allen Iverson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.060.012146%-0.023-0.071486%0.03
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.08-0.011142%-0.071-0.032100%0.01
Marcus Camby0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.05-0.03731%-0.042-0.06250%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.533.215.626.81.738.2145.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +70.9%
DEN -23.7%
IND +14.6%
DEN -19.2%
IND +7.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDENNBAINDDENNBA
this game12.313.115.4100.096.5105.7
season13.813.3104.5108.2
opponent15.215.2105.4105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND12.414.311.211.412.3
DEN12.911.414.513.813.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Tinsley92950.65-0.150.800.3311-92011.715.1-3.4313.511.61.88
Mike Dunleavy80810.460.040.430.296-41012.112.9-0.8513.412.50.93
Marquis Daniels72740.420.080.350.69-911-2012.512.10.3612.614.1-1.43
Troy Murphy42430.370.130.230.283-1412.412.30.0413.812.81.03
Shawne Williams78790.320.180.140.204-2612.112.8-0.6713.013.5-0.53
David Harrison42420.280.220.070.145-3812.012.6-0.6013.113.2-0.09
Jeff Foster66670.250.25-0.000.134-2613.011.41.5913.612.41.19
Kareem Rush10100.090.41-0.320.003-1413.212.20.9512.113.2-1.15
Travis Diener1010-0.160.66-0.820.11-911-2016.212.04.258.913.6-4.66
Danny Granger6869-0.180.68-0.870.05-810-1812.412.20.2413.013.3-0.27

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Carter80780.08-0.580.66-0.2712-142612.414.8-2.3412.911.01.95
Carmelo Anthony82820.03-0.530.57-0.3513-152813.013.4-0.4012.611.51.18
Bobby Jones110.02-0.520.540.020-225.013.2-8.221.012.4-11.43
Eduardo Najera6769-0.07-0.430.36-0.4513-152813.612.51.1212.512.10.35
Marcus Camby9392-0.19-0.310.13-0.335-71213.511.51.9912.810.22.59
Yakhouba Diawara1615-0.38-0.12-0.260.23-2119-4016.912.54.339.712.7-3.08
J.R. Smith4544-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.380-2211.214.4-3.2912.012.5-0.54
Allen Iverson109106-0.560.06-0.62-0.41-53-813.46.86.6412.019.0-7.05
Linas Kleiza7773-1.050.55-1.60-0.26-2725-5213.213.00.2612.112.8-0.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.54,0.43,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 132, MIN 1260.5,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.24,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.15,0.1,0.04,091.3%
LAL 121, MEM 1190.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.06,0.01,090.3%
LAC 100, BOS 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.24,0.37,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,090.1%