NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	92		Excitement	3.1 [1167]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +13.9%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	1.2 [1207]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -6.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Pat Garrity	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	12	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Grant Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Jameer Nelson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.00	6	92%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.00	0.05	22	67%	0.16	4	-0.05	11	82%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	5	100%	0.11	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	17	45%	0.04	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Lucas III	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	8	31%	-0.01	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.8	27.3	15.4	29.4	2.7	29.3	136.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +43.4%

HOU +8.2%

ORL -2.0%

HOU +0.2%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	HOU	NBA	ORL	HOU	NBA
this game	16.2	14.3	15.4	96.8	109.6	104.5
season	15.9	15.6		103.4	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.7		99.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.0	17.4	14.0	16.5	16.2
HOU	12.1	14.7	15.4	14.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	14.0	16.2	-2.19	18.0	14.3	3.74
JJ Redick	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	11.4	16.4	-5.03	17.5	14.1	3.42
Carlos Arroyo	29	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-9	7	16.3	16.1	0.20	14.8	14.1	0.67
Keyon Dooling	40	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-16	21	14.9	17.1	-2.10	15.2	13.6	1.59
Keith Bogans	46	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-10	9	15.1	17.2	-2.10	13.0	15.6	-2.51
Trevor Ariza	35	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-10	9	16.5	16.0	0.46	14.1	14.4	-0.30
Dwight Howard	66	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	2	-15	15.9	16.9	-1.00	13.5	15.9	-2.49
Hedo Turkoglu	67	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	1	-13	16.6	15.2	1.30	14.6	13.6	1.08
Grant Hill	56	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-1	-9	17.2	14.6	2.63	15.2	13.1	2.09
Jameer Nelson	61	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	2	-15	16.5	15.6	0.90	13.7	15.2	-1.48
Darko Milicic	69	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	3	-17	16.5	15.2	1.29	14.4	14.0	0.42

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	69	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-9	29	14.8	12.8	2.04	16.2	16.0	0.23
Shane Battier	77	75	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	-2	15	14.7	12.3	2.45	16.2	16.0	0.15
Tracy McGrady	63	67	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	3	5	14.3	14.4	-0.13	16.0	16.5	-0.42
Luther Head	57	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	9	-7	14.4	14.2	0.18	15.8	16.7	-0.86
Juwan Howard	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	6	-1	14.2	14.4	-0.26	16.8	15.6	1.28
Kirk Snyder	24	23	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	9	-7	14.9	14.1	0.77	18.3	15.5	2.88
Rafer Alston	71	73	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	2	7	13.8	15.8	-2.02	15.5	18.5	-3.09
Charles Hayes	36	38	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	4	3	14.0	14.5	-0.53	16.2	16.2	-0.02
John Lucas III	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	18.0	14.3	3.74	14.0	16.2	-2.19
Jake Tsakalidis	14	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	17	-23	13.8	14.4	-0.60	15.4	16.3	-0.95
Dikembe Mutombo	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	14	-17	11.5	14.7	-3.12	16.8	16.1	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 109, DEN 129	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NYK 82, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CLE 80, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%