NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	145		Excitement	16.1 [2]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): +53.8%
New York Knicks	151		Comeback	38.8 [33]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -51.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52	0.15	0.37	0.00	8	89%	0.52	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17	0.24	-0.04	0.03	37	59%	0.20	1	-0.04	12	100%	0.09
Antonio McDyess	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.06,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16	0.04	0.12	-0.00	12	58%	0.23	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	16	53%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Will Blalock	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	14	31%	-0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	16	34%	-0.17	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Chauncey Billups	-0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.31,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.52	-0.04	-0.47	0.01	13	46%	-0.47	2	-0.05	11	82%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54	0.54	0.24	0.32	0.03	23	67%	0.63	2	-0.10	15	80%	0.08
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.08	0.43	0.00	18	62%	0.61	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.06
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.1,0.22,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.16	0.00	15	69%	0.50	5	-0.26	12	92%	0.13
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.05	0.02	15	73%	0.30	4	-0.11	15	73%	-0.05
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Malik Rose	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.10	-0.00	5	61%	0.02	1	-0.09	8	62%	-0.10
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	4	36%	-0.08	3	-0.09	3	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3	Total
this game	27.6	2.7	34.8	15.7	29.4	2.5	39.4	2.5	17.2	2.4	22.2	2.4	18.6	217.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +97.9%

NYK +65.5%

DET -55.2%

DET -43.3%

DET -15.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	14.3	15.4	117.9	125.8	104.5
season	16.8	15.7		106.1	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.7	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	16.1	17.9	15.0	20.5	15.4	16.8
NYK	14.6	14.0	15.7	13.1	14.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	59	57	0.60	-1.10	1.70	0.43	6	-12	18	16.2	17.3	-1.14	15.2	13.5	1.77
Dale Davis	23	24	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-10	14	15.3	17.1	-1.82	14.7	14.2	0.51
Will Blalock	21	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	0	-6	19.3	16.3	3.08	13.3	14.5	-1.29
Carlos Delfino	64	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	3	-12	16.5	17.1	-0.65	13.2	15.4	-2.20
Antonio McDyess	59	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-11	16	17.2	16.4	0.72	14.1	14.5	-0.33
Jason Maxiell	6	6	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	4	-14	20.8	16.6	4.26	13.0	14.4	-1.37
Richard Hamilton	111	106	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-8	10	16.1	23.4	-7.35	14.4	13.8	0.58
Ronald Murray	7	8	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	4	-14	19.1	16.6	2.50	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Chauncey Billups	102	97	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-8	10	16.3	19.3	-3.08	14.5	13.3	1.29
Tayshaun Prince	82	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-4	2	17.8	14.7	3.18	14.6	13.7	0.90
Rasheed Wallace	65	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	-2	-2	18.8	14.5	4.35	14.6	14.0	0.63
Ronald Dupree	3	2	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	2	-10	0.7	17.2	-16.52	6.0	14.4	-8.44

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	92	91	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.51	10	-4	14	13.8	15.9	-2.03	16.0	19.0	-2.96
Channing Frye	67	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-8	22	14.9	13.5	1.45	16.7	16.8	-0.07
Steve Francis	31	31	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-2	10	13.2	14.7	-1.45	15.7	17.1	-1.43
Jamal Crawford	99	104	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	14.5	13.2	1.29	17.0	15.7	1.30
Eddy Curry	100	102	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.56	-6	12	-18	14.8	11.9	2.88	17.0	15.8	1.23
Malik Rose	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	8	-10	4.0	14.4	-10.39	21.0	16.7	4.25
Renaldo Balkman	37	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	10	-14	12.6	15.1	-2.50	15.3	17.4	-2.09
Jared Jeffries	79	82	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.17	3	3	0	14.4	14.1	0.34	17.8	14.8	2.93
Stephon Marbury	94	97	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.22	0	6	-6	14.6	13.2	1.41	17.1	15.6	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.4,0.53,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.05,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.15,0.1,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 112, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.14,0.13,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.08,0	86.0%
CLE 89, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.47,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.02,0	84.8%
PHX 146, WAS 149	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.84,0.5,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.74,0.54,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.54,0.38,0.46,0.69,0.84,1	84.6%