NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	7.9 [275]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +25.4%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	2.0 [811]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -17.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	18	54%	0.15	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	12	61%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lamond Murray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	7	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.14,-0.13	0.14	-0.15	0.12	27	61%	0.03	5	-0.16	17	76%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	9	19%	-0.10	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.23,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.12	0.05	17	65%	0.33	2	-0.07	21	90%	0.04
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.10	0.00	11	74%	0.26	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Malik Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	12	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	20	48%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Schenscher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	7	31%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	34.4	15.5	26.3	2.4	48.2	150.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +24.7%

CHI +17.4%

NJN -1.5%

CHI +6.0%

CHI +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	12.8	15.6	101.0	102.0	104.4
season	15.7	14.4		102.1	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.7		102.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.7	16.5	16.1	14.9	15.7
CHI	14.3	13.5	12.2	11.4	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-3	3	18.5	15.7	2.82	12.0	12.8	-0.82
Zoran Planinic	17	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-1	-1	20.1	14.9	5.20	12.4	12.9	-0.47
Jason Collins	73	77	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-5	7	15.9	15.4	0.51	13.8	9.8	4.03
Lamond Murray	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	1	-5	19.0	15.4	3.62	13.5	12.7	0.77
Jacque Vaughn	36	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	3	-9	19.7	13.5	6.27	12.9	12.7	0.21
Jason Kidd	81	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-6	9	14.4	21.5	-7.08	12.9	12.4	0.47
Richard Jefferson	82	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.50	5	-8	13	15.4	17.1	-1.67	12.8	12.7	0.17
Clifford Robinson	47	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	5	-13	17.7	14.0	3.78	11.0	14.3	-3.31
Nenad Krstic	76	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.50	0	-3	3	14.6	19.3	-4.67	12.7	13.2	-0.47
Vince Carter	76	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	2	-7	13.9	21.6	-7.74	12.8	12.7	0.20

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	96	93	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	0	3	12.8	12.8	-0.03	15.1	24.7	-9.65
Tyson Chandler	58	55	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-4	11	13.4	12.1	1.29	17.1	14.1	3.00
Andres Nocioni	88	85	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.40	1	2	-1	12.5	14.7	-2.21	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Ben Gordon	89	87	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.50	-4	7	-11	13.0	11.3	1.71	15.4	17.9	-2.51
Luke Schenscher	21	20	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.12	10	-7	17	11.0	13.3	-2.21	17.6	15.3	2.39
Jannero Pargo	42	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.13	10	-7	17	12.5	13.0	-0.60	17.7	14.2	3.55
Othella Harrington	21	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	-1	5	12.7	12.8	-0.17	16.1	15.6	0.45
Michael Sweetney	24	25	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	7	-11	11.7	13.1	-1.43	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Malik Allen	65	63	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.41	-13	16	-29	13.2	12.2	1.01	14.4	18.0	-3.54
Randy Livingston	6	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	2	-1	18.2	12.5	5.70	12.3	16.0	-3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.91,1,1	95.7%
NJN 92, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.84,0.84,0.91,1,1	93.7%
IND 82, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	92.9%