NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	77		Excitement	7.2 [397]		MVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): +8.1%
Orlando Magic	84		Comeback	2.7 [727]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -22.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	7	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.00	6	54%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	12	29%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.23	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	18	41%	-0.03	5	-0.19	10	90%	0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	14	59%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	7	40%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	14	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	18	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	33.5	16.4	25.4	2.4	36.8	141.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +50.0%

BOS -18.6%

BOS -4.1%

ORL +24.4%

BOS -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.6	86.5	92.3	104.4
season	14.8	16.4		103.3	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.8		105.9	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.7	16.4	13.4	17.1	15.6
ORL	15.6	15.7	17.2	17.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	29	31	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.03	6	-13	19	15.2	15.8	-0.61	16.7	16.2	0.56
Gerald Green	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	9.0	15.7	-6.69	0.0	16.6	-16.56
Kendrick Perkins	37	39	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-10	13	15.5	15.7	-0.18	16.9	16.0	0.92
Brian Scalabrine	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-6	5	11.0	15.7	-4.72	0.0	16.7	-16.74
Al Jefferson	27	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-5	3	16.4	15.3	1.08	16.6	16.3	0.39
Ryan Gomes	53	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-5	3	15.4	15.9	-0.55	17.4	14.9	2.54
Orien Greene	44	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-4	1	15.7	15.5	0.26	16.4	16.4	0.04
Delonte West	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	15.3	16.0	-0.66	15.9	16.9	-0.99
Paul Pierce	77	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	15.6	15.9	-0.35	16.1	18.0	-1.87
Raef LaFrentz	55	52	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	3	-13	15.8	15.4	0.43	15.9	17.0	-1.10
Wally Szczerbiak	72	74	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.29	-16	9	-25	16.0	14.1	1.93	16.6	15.2	1.40

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	67	65	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.17	14	-7	21	14.7	21.1	-6.45	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Dwight Howard	82	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	0	7	16.0	20.2	-4.27	15.7	15.1	0.56
Hedo Turkoglu	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-1	9	15.9	18.0	-2.18	15.8	14.8	0.99
Darko Milicic	34	34	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	5	-3	19.0	14.8	4.24	16.4	15.1	1.28
Keyon Dooling	38	37	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.38	-1	8	-9	18.6	14.8	3.83	15.7	15.6	0.10
DeShawn Stevenson	53	52	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	-1	9	14.8	18.6	-3.83	15.6	15.7	-0.10
Tony Battie	60	59	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	3	1	16.1	16.8	-0.66	15.3	16.3	-1.03
Trevor Ariza	21	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	8	-9	18.0	15.9	2.18	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Carlos Arroyo	30	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	13	-19	18.8	15.2	3.57	15.3	15.8	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.92,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 95, CHA 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.92,0.9,0.99,1	92.0%
NJN 77, CLE 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.92,1	92.0%
GSW 100, NJN 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.73,0.81,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	91.9%