inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 97 Excitement9.5 [106] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +27.8%
Philadelphia 76ers 93 Comeback9.9 [62] LVPKyle Korver (PHI): -29.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.280,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.280.070.210.002058%0.373-0.091070%-0.02
Greg Buckner0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.040.00658%0.0800.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00480%0.091-0.032100%0.01
Reggie Evans0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.02-0.021737%0.013-0.071100%0.01
Ruben Patterson-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.11,-0.110.03-0.120.021062%-0.033-0.071267%-0.03
Earl Boykins-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.01928%-0.052-0.0800%0.00
Andre Miller-0.160,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16-0.04-0.110.01750%-0.103-0.07475%-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.02489%0.0800.0010%-0.02
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Shavlik Randolph00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00462%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00367%0.063-0.12367%0.01
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.06-0.080.00837%-0.062-0.0800%0.00
Allen Iverson0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.16-0.16-0.04-0.14-0.023248%-0.036-0.131573%-0.01
Chris Webber0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.16-0.16-0.031934%-0.233-0.051250%-0.16
Kyle Korver0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.29-0.29-0.12-0.18-0.021622%-0.2900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.23.630.219.533.63.039.2154.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +68.0%
DEN +11.7%
PHI -24.1%
PHI -5.0%
PHI -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPHINBADENPHINBA
this game13.115.915.699.093.0104.4
season14.415.2103.5104.1
opponent15.315.9106.0103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.014.010.916.213.1
PHI15.714.216.218.015.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DerMarr Johnson39390.91-0.411.320.3519-153413.313.00.3717.315.12.18
Carmelo Anthony88890.54-0.040.580.4240413.113.10.0115.717.9-2.20
Marcus Camby72720.390.110.280.2740412.714.1-1.3715.716.6-0.91
Earl Boykins46460.290.210.080.2322014.012.31.6315.316.5-1.12
Andre Miller71730.280.220.050.2222012.614.5-1.8916.315.01.30
Greg Buckner47490.230.27-0.040.085-1613.312.90.4015.516.4-0.86
Ruben Patterson59610.000.50-0.490.21-711-1813.213.00.1416.315.40.84
Reggie Evans34360.000.50-0.490.15-59-1413.912.71.2715.616.1-0.53
Francisco Elson3435-0.140.64-0.79-0.03-48-1212.313.5-1.2116.115.90.16

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Samuel Dalembert33310.17-0.670.840.025-91414.516.7-2.1912.713.3-0.64
Shavlik Randolph100.02-0.520.540.020-440.016.1-16.110.013.1-13.11
Steven Hunter4444-0.23-0.270.05-0.02-73-1017.015.11.9212.513.6-1.15
Matt Barnes4949-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.24-1-3215.816.1-0.3013.712.51.20
John Salmons2929-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.300-4415.816.0-0.2214.712.42.29
Chris Webber8785-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.30-1-3216.313.82.5112.815.2-2.35
Kyle Korver8886-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.29-62-816.214.12.1212.617.0-4.43
Andre Iguodala7776-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.47-1-3215.617.2-1.5913.711.22.43
Allen Iverson9290-0.610.11-0.72-0.34-95-1416.015.10.9013.113.5-0.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.53,0.33,0.28,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 97, MIN 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.3,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.68,0.58,089.5%
IND 97, TOR 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.43,088.4%
PHI 106, MIA 1020.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.27,088.4%