NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	100		Excitement	8.7 [173]		MVP	Kwame Brown (LAL): +36.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	10.3 [96]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -19.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.16	0.16	-0.00	15	68%	0.32	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0.32	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.32	0.15	0.19	0.02	15	76%	0.51	4	-0.19	11	82%	-0.07
Chucky Atkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.09,0.07	0.00	0.09	0.02	10	56%	0.19	3	-0.12	12	75%	-0.04
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	43%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.10
Bobby Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	12	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.2,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.18	0.19	0.00	6	100%	0.44	1	-0.07	6	100%	0.08
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.04	0.02	9	83%	0.19	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	10	54%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.14	0.00	5	50%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	9	36%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,-0.04,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	0.01	28	41%	-0.05	4	-0.15	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	31.8	16.6	31.9	2.7	42.3	153.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +59.5%

MEM +10.6%

LAL -10.3%

LAL -14.3%

MEM +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	16.8	16.7	15.6	116.3	115.1	104.4
season	17.1	15.6		103.5	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		104.3	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.8	19.6	19.2	14.3	16.8
LAL	17.2	18.3	14.4	17.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	62	64	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.56	7	-6	13	16.7	17.1	-0.37	17.2	15.1	2.13
Pau Gasol	73	73	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.56	6	-5	11	16.8	17.2	-0.40	16.6	17.2	-0.56
Shane Battier	72	71	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.43	9	-8	17	15.6	22.9	-7.22	16.7	16.7	0.01
Eddie Jones	75	76	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.58	3	-2	5	16.3	20.5	-4.28	17.0	14.5	2.46
Bobby Jackson	51	50	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.50	-6	7	-13	16.9	16.7	0.26	16.5	16.9	-0.42
Lorenzen Wright	22	21	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	-6	13	17.3	16.7	0.62	18.1	16.2	1.88
Brian Cardinal	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	0	1	18.0	16.8	1.20	21.0	16.6	4.38
Dahntay Jones	39	40	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.11	-3	4	-7	17.1	16.6	0.48	15.6	17.6	-1.92
Jake Tsakalidis	12	12	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.08	-6	7	-13	17.1	16.8	0.31	16.8	16.6	0.18
Hakim Warrick	23	22	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.02	-13	14	-27	21.4	15.1	6.31	15.0	17.2	-2.25

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	17	18	0.32	-0.82	1.15	-0.03	12	-13	25	13.2	17.5	-4.36	20.4	15.9	4.52
Andrew Bynum	19	18	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.04	5	-6	11	16.5	16.7	-0.26	16.2	17.0	-0.82
Kwame Brown	63	64	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.22	-2	1	-3	16.7	16.5	0.21	17.2	15.8	1.34
Sasha Vujacic	30	30	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-1	1	17.1	16.4	0.70	15.0	17.8	-2.79
Devean George	65	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.50	3	-4	7	16.0	18.6	-2.57	16.3	18.3	-1.96
Smush Parker	58	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.53	0	-1	1	16.5	17.1	-0.59	18.0	14.4	3.54
Kobe Bryant	82	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.47	-4	3	-7	17.0	10.0	7.00	16.5	22.5	-5.96
Lamar Odom	75	74	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.42	-12	11	-23	17.1	13.8	3.28	16.2	20.8	-4.67
Brian Cook	21	22	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.68	-7	6	-13	18.6	16.1	2.51	17.5	16.6	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 75, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.61,0.53,0.79,0.85,0.85,0	89.6%
UTA 88, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.68,0.73,0	89.0%
LAL 87, DEN 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.69,0	88.9%