inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 80 Excitement7.2 [391] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.8%
Dallas Mavericks 83 Comeback24.2 [113] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -51.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Buckner0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.040.00367%0.0700.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02425%-0.0310.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.03840%-0.031-0.024100%0.02
Andre Miller-0.050,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.070.001259%0.033-0.075100%0.02
Eduardo Najera-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.04-0.02743%0.034-0.1400%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14-0.03-0.12-0.011242%-0.131-0.01250%-0.01
Earl Boykins-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.01812%-0.121-0.0200%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.510,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.2,-0.51-0.03-0.460.032247%-0.443-0.07786%0.05

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.150.150.130.050.032562%0.233-0.086100%0.03
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.020.100.011077%0.225-0.11250%-0.01
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Doug Christie0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01237%-0.0200.00475%-0.01
Josh Howard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00430%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.000.01350%-0.002-0.042100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.0100%0.004-0.1000%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.09-0.07-0.011530%-0.141-0.0200%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.00850%0.046-0.2100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.82.431.016.027.23.431.9137.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +101.9%
DEN -14.3%
DEN -19.1%
DEN -23.2%
DAL +4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game15.516.015.687.990.2104.4
season14.416.4103.5109.0
opponent15.615.9102.9103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.013.713.920.115.5
DAL13.819.016.115.216.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DerMarr Johnson49500.16-0.660.82-0.3718-213914.816.3-1.5415.216.8-1.59
Kenyon Martin16160.11-0.610.73-0.035-81314.615.7-1.0715.216.1-0.94
Francisco Elson50510.00-0.500.50-0.062-5713.917.5-3.6116.814.91.97
Voshon Lenard1313-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-2-1-114.815.6-0.7720.615.25.41
Carmelo Anthony7678-0.24-0.260.03-0.416-91515.316.5-1.1516.015.70.30
Greg Buckner2626-0.35-0.15-0.210.09-1512-2716.515.11.4514.116.7-2.58
Andre Miller6464-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.536-91515.316.1-0.8116.415.01.39
Marcus Camby7071-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.521-4515.715.00.6616.015.90.14
Eduardo Najera4444-0.620.12-0.75-0.16-1613-2918.013.14.8715.916.0-0.11
Earl Boykins4747-0.650.15-0.81-0.07-2017-3715.915.00.8915.116.8-1.67

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeSagana Diop73690.91-0.411.330.4416-132915.418.3-2.9616.213.42.76
Devin Harris59590.90-0.401.290.3419-163514.818.0-3.1216.813.13.67
Marquis Daniels71690.85-0.351.210.4115-122715.418.0-2.7015.714.90.85
Dirk Nowitzki83820.480.020.460.3930315.916.9-1.0215.813.22.53
Jason Terry54540.470.030.440.50-14-517.713.54.1615.715.20.44
Darrell Armstrong27270.070.43-0.36-0.147-41112.217.5-5.3015.415.6-0.19
Josh Powell990.020.48-0.460.0203-316.915.91.0213.215.8-2.53
Doug Christie3232-0.320.82-1.130.04-1215-2717.914.92.9713.916.4-2.47
Erick Dampier1820-0.400.90-1.300.04-1518-3319.315.14.1814.215.9-1.61
Josh Howard3434-0.480.98-1.460.02-1720-3717.115.31.8713.616.7-3.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.26,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.28,0.36,0.53,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.55,0.69,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 106, LAL 1090.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.51,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.67,0.58,190.3%
NYK 86, PHI 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.47,0.41,0.55,0.68,0.64,0.96,1,189.5%
HOU 100, VAN 1020.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.98,189.4%