NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	80		Excitement	3.3 [1160]		MVP	Jim Jackson (HOU): +9.5%
New Jersey Nets	69		Comeback	2.1 [268]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -17.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.03	10	75%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	15	42%	0.05	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	13	43%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.14	0.00	-0.10	11	26%	-0.02	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Awvee Storey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	13	45%	-0.06	4	-0.05	7	100%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.19	-0.01	-0.07	13	34%	-0.08	5	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-0.02	-0.06	17	40%	-0.08	7	-0.10	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	24.0	15.8	25.1	2.4	33.6	128.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +57.6%

NJN -0.5%

NJN -14.6%

HOU +7.5%

HOU +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NJN	NBA	HOU	NJN	NBA
this game	16.8	16.7	15.5	93.0	80.2	104.0
season	16.0	16.0		104.2	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	19.2	15.7	13.8	18.9	16.8
NJN	16.0	21.4	16.2	13.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	44	46	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.06	16	-5	21	15.8	17.8	-1.94	18.4	14.8	3.59
Jim Jackson	74	73	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	-2	15	16.5	18.7	-2.18	16.4	18.4	-1.99
Tyronn Lue	33	35	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	0	11	17.6	16.3	1.32	17.2	16.4	0.85
Dikembe Mutombo	38	35	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	7	-3	17.0	16.6	0.33	18.4	15.5	2.82
Ryan Bowen	30	30	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	4	3	17.7	16.3	1.35	18.3	15.8	2.46
Tracy McGrady	68	69	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	9	-7	16.7	17.0	-0.26	16.3	18.2	-1.92
Yao Ming	42	45	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	4	3	16.7	16.9	-0.24	15.2	18.4	-3.23
Charlie Ward	53	51	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	11	-11	16.3	17.6	-1.32	16.4	17.2	-0.85
Maurice Taylor	48	46	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	16	-21	17.6	15.7	1.89	15.3	18.3	-3.09

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	22	21	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-17	23	14.4	17.5	-3.08	15.5	17.2	-1.68
Awvee Storey	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	8.0	16.8	-8.80	22.0	16.7	5.27
Nenad Krstic	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	8.0	16.8	-8.80	22.0	16.7	5.27
Alonzo Mourning	43	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-6	1	16.9	16.5	0.37	16.7	16.9	-0.18
Aaron Williams	11	10	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-1	-9	16.2	16.8	-0.59	14.5	17.1	-2.59
Brian Scalabrine	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-11	11	17.1	16.3	0.85	17.4	16.3	1.14
Jason Collins	70	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-6	1	16.7	16.5	0.24	16.6	17.6	-1.02
Eric Williams	71	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-5	-1	16.8	16.2	0.60	16.4	18.7	-2.27
Richard Jefferson	76	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	17.0	14.7	2.26	16.8	16.5	0.33
Jacque Vaughn	17	18	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.07	-13	2	-15	18.6	16.2	2.43	18.9	16.2	2.72
Zoran Planinic	67	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-4	-3	16.1	18.7	-2.62	17.0	15.9	1.10
Rodney Buford	11	12	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	3	-17	18.7	16.4	2.33	16.9	16.8	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 124, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
SEA 113, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MIL 97, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0,0	95.4%