inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 100 Excitement8.4 [167] MVPWalter McCarty (BOS): +33.2%
Boston Celtics 104 Comeback2.7 [659] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -27.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney White0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.090.070.020.00972%0.141-0.0500%0.00
Marcus Camby0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.030.011167%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Francisco Elson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.00743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.030,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.022044%-0.001-0.03367%0.01
Nene-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.001050%-0.011-0.03450%-0.02
Earl Boykins-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.01-0.080.00333%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Andre Miller-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22-0.11-0.110.001437%-0.152-0.07450%-0.06
Carmelo Anthony-0.270,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.19,-0.27-0.15-0.13-0.012044%-0.086-0.195100%0.06

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.330.200.130.007121%0.3300.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.02-0.011366%0.192-0.11667%-0.01
Mark Blount0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.000.001165%0.0800.00475%-0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.070.07-0.030.08-0.022154%0.133-0.071070%-0.03
Brandon Hunter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.010.021055%0.053-0.0800%0.00
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00233%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.00325%-0.0700.0020%-0.03
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.13-0.06-0.011127%-0.093-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.91.832.015.827.12.534.4137.5
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +81.8%
DEN -8.7%
DEN -40.6%
BOS +19.1%
DEN -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENBOSNBADENBOSNBA
this game16.814.015.7107.5110.6100.5
season14.914.4101.699.5
opponent15.915.4102.1101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.417.618.814.716.8
BOS14.213.213.315.314.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Doleac41400.26-0.761.010.057-111817.016.70.3713.114.6-1.48
Ryan Bowen15140.07-0.570.640.041-5619.216.42.8414.613.90.67
Francisco Elson23-0.03-0.470.450.03-2-2021.016.74.2720.713.86.89
Earl Boykins3234-0.08-0.420.33-0.173-71016.716.9-0.2014.813.61.20
Rodney White3334-0.17-0.330.16-0.387-111814.218.2-4.0415.613.12.49
Nene4646-0.22-0.280.06-0.01-73-1018.215.42.8112.815.1-2.30
Voshon Lenard7173-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-2016.617.4-0.7213.615.3-1.72
Andre Miller8382-0.580.08-0.67-0.38-73-1017.015.21.8113.914.9-1.05
Carmelo Anthony7879-0.620.12-0.74-0.42-73-1016.419.2-2.8414.113.70.40
Marcus Camby6465-0.840.34-1.18-0.46-139-2216.916.70.1914.213.50.70

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chucky Atkins76760.92-0.421.340.4516-122813.416.5-3.0917.513.83.74
Mark Blount76770.81-0.311.120.4612-82013.914.4-0.4817.314.62.65
Paul Pierce83830.78-0.281.060.4910-61613.617.3-3.7117.214.03.16
Walter McCarty71690.52-0.020.530.375-1613.914.2-0.2317.016.40.54
Ricky Davis56540.210.29-0.080.33-48-1213.914.1-0.2216.417.4-1.02
Jiri Welsch49490.010.49-0.48-0.0522014.813.11.7516.716.9-0.22
Brandon Hunter1414-0.010.51-0.520.02-15-614.813.90.9215.117.1-1.97
Chris Mihm2726-0.320.82-1.13-0.08-812-2014.014.0-0.0016.017.1-1.13
Marcus Banks1817-0.420.92-1.34-0.07-1216-2816.513.43.0913.817.5-3.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.37,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.88,0.9,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 90, CHI 960.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.96,191.0%
DET 68, MEM 720.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.82,190.7%
MIN 100, PHX 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.95,0.99,1,190.2%