NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	86		Excitement	3.2 [1144]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +15.8%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	1.1 [1054]		LVP	Steven Smith (NOH): -7.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.01	0.07	5	92%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
David West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	42%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Baron Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.01	0.08	28	52%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.01	0.03	17	77%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	59%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	66%	0.07	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	54%	0.02	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	8%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.7	30.8	20.7	24.5	3.6	43.0	153.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.1%

HOU +1.9%

HOU +2.5%

HOU +0.1%

HOU +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	HOU	NBA	NOH	HOU	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.7	94.5	109.0	100.5
season	16.0	16.5		99.3	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		97.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.8	17.4	15.4	16.4	16.0
HOU	15.2	17.7	17.4	14.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-8	5	16.3	15.9	0.42	19.3	15.7	3.66
Robert Traylor	48	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-19	27	15.7	16.2	-0.52	16.1	16.0	0.04
David West	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-8	5	16.4	15.9	0.53	20.4	15.4	4.93
Steven Smith	29	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.13	-8	-3	-5	15.1	16.3	-1.20	17.6	15.3	2.33
George Lynch	32	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-6	1	14.9	16.5	-1.67	15.5	16.3	-0.81
Stacey Augmon	8	8	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-4	-3	19.7	15.6	4.16	15.7	16.1	-0.32
David Wesley	76	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-10	9	15.7	17.0	-1.25	15.9	16.9	-1.05
Darrell Armstrong	50	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-6	1	16.5	15.3	1.12	16.1	15.9	0.22
P.J. Brown	56	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	3	-17	15.7	16.4	-0.72	15.9	16.2	-0.26
Jamaal Magloire	56	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-2	-7	16.6	14.9	1.74	15.5	17.0	-1.57
Baron Davis	79	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	-3	-5	15.9	16.0	-0.05	15.3	20.9	-5.63

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	33	34	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-3	17	17.2	15.4	1.85	17.6	15.0	2.65
Clar. Weatherspoon	41	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	0	11	17.6	14.7	2.81	17.2	14.8	2.42
Cuttino Mobley	83	86	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	4	3	16.1	15.7	0.41	16.0	15.0	1.01
Steve Francis	72	74	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	2	7	16.3	15.0	1.29	15.4	18.4	-3.02
Yao Ming	55	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	7	-3	15.3	17.3	-1.97	16.0	15.9	0.12
Jim Jackson	73	73	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	8	-5	15.1	20.6	-5.51	15.7	17.1	-1.44
Kelvin Cato	51	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	3	5	16.6	15.3	1.36	15.6	16.4	-0.84
Adrian Griffin	10	9	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.12	1	10	-9	13.1	16.4	-3.32	15.1	16.0	-0.94
Maurice Taylor	23	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	7	-3	18.3	15.3	2.99	15.3	16.2	-0.93
Scott Padgett	4	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	17	-23	1.5	16.7	-15.23	11.7	16.1	-4.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 111, NYK 120	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1	96.9%
CHI 71, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
GSW 75, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%