inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 71 Excitement3.7 [1064] MVPYao Ming (HOU): +8.0%
Houston Rockets 86 Comeback2.5 [747] LVPKeith Van Horn (NYK): -12.5%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Moochie Norris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Frank Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01662%-0.002-0.0310%-0.01
Michael Doleac-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.02850%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Othella Harrington-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01250%0.013-0.0600%0.00
Stephon Marbury-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.03844%0.013-0.072100%0.01
Kurt Thomas-0.060,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.031231%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Allan Houston-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.02-0.031146%0.013-0.07475%-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.010.051150%-0.051-0.0220%-0.03
Keith Van Horn-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.021337%-0.063-0.06475%-0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Yao Ming0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.14-0.010.051578%0.142-0.06771%-0.01
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.011564%0.112-0.04333%-0.01
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.021258%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.02250%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.0430%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.110.01-0.041432%-0.031-0.02367%-0.01
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.110.01-0.031233%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.34.330.316.627.33.427.2135.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +38.8%
NYK -0.4%
HOU +5.8%
HOU +5.5%
HOU +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKHOUNBANYKHOUNBA
this game15.217.515.780.797.7100.5
season15.516.598.698.8
opponent15.615.897.1100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK15.814.915.015.215.2
HOU17.015.119.219.117.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shandon Anderson550.00-0.500.50-0.062-171915.615.20.4116.817.6-0.75
Frank Williams550.00-0.500.50-0.062-171915.615.20.4116.817.6-0.75
Moochie Norris1010-0.12-0.380.250.05-6-9316.815.01.7915.417.8-2.38
Keith Van Horn5654-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-151514.716.1-1.4318.216.51.70
Michael Doleac3739-0.17-0.330.150.00-6-9315.614.90.6517.617.40.23
Kurt Thomas6465-0.19-0.310.11-0.05-5-10515.614.21.3917.018.9-1.90
Othella Harrington2321-0.24-0.260.020.03-9-6-314.015.6-1.6519.317.02.33
Dikembe Mutombo3838-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.02-10-5-515.215.2-0.0116.118.6-2.43
Allan Houston7576-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.05-10-5-515.215.5-0.3817.716.41.27
Stephon Marbury7373-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-11-4-715.016.4-1.4317.815.91.98
Anfernee Hardaway5454-0.600.10-0.700.04-227-2915.614.61.0217.517.6-0.13

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Taylor65650.450.050.40-0.0216-11717.617.30.3415.614.11.47
Mark Jackson29280.400.100.31-0.0716-11715.918.3-2.4115.515.10.42
Jim Jackson78770.400.100.31-0.041501517.716.41.2515.612.72.84
Yao Ming52510.390.110.280.011321116.818.5-1.6315.814.41.40
Bostjan Nachbar27290.300.200.100.01105518.017.30.6514.915.4-0.42
Scott Padgett28300.280.220.06-0.04114718.517.01.4514.315.7-1.44
Steve Francis66670.270.230.050.13510-518.016.11.8914.916.4-1.53
Cuttino Mobley64630.120.38-0.260.15-116-1717.417.8-0.4415.215.3-0.15
Kelvin Cato3130-0.120.62-0.740.17-1025-3517.517.50.0614.315.7-1.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 73, ORL 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
TOR 86, MEM 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,195.1%
UTA 86, PHX 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%