NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	112		Excitement	15.7 [1]		MVP	Corey Benjamin (ATL): +33.2%
Atlanta Hawks	110		Comeback	19.3 [72]		LVP	Derek Anderson (POR): -54.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1	-0.06	0.14	-0.02	7	50%	0.15	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	16	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	79%	0.14	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	13	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.27	-0.02	-0.23	0.01	11	46%	-0.27	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.32,-0.35,-0.36,-0.42,-0.42,-0.4,-0.43,-0.49,-0.49,-0.49,-0.57,-0.57,-0.27	-0.24	-0.05	-0.02	22	26%	-0.14	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.20
Derek Anderson	-0.54	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.17,-0.04,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.11,-0.18,-0.28,-0.54	-0.06	-0.49	-0.01	15	52%	-0.26	3	-0.28	10	60%	-0.29

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.33	0.33	-0.06	0.39	0.00	10	36%	0.55	1	-0.22	2	50%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.06,0.16	0.16	-0.09	0.23	-0.01	24	45%	0.25	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.04
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	52%	-0.00	1	-0.02	11	64%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	2	37%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.13	-0.18	0.04	15	68%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	6	44%	-0.07	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.22,-0.28,-0.35,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42	-0.42	-0.09	-0.31	0.02	25	44%	-0.40	1	-0.02	12	75%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	26.4	15.8	31.2	2.6	35.5	2.3	19.9	2.7	16.2	182.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -16.1%

POR +14.5%

POR +52.5%

ATL -4.7%

POR +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.8	15.5	99.1	99.1	101.6
season	16.0	15.1		104.3	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	12.8	18.4	19.5	13.1	22.1	16.3
ATL	13.9	14.4	10.5	19.6	17.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	68	67	1.12	-0.62	1.74	0.91	7	-5	12	15.9	16.8	-0.96	15.2	14.2	1.01
Derek Anderson	75	74	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.55	3	-1	4	16.3	16.1	0.20	15.4	13.5	1.96
Scottie Pippen	72	72	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.55	3	-1	4	16.3	16.3	-0.00	15.5	13.5	1.97
Bonzi Wells	91	88	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	-3	8	15.6	19.1	-3.51	14.9	14.3	0.62
Dale Davis	80	76	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.53	-7	9	-16	17.6	13.0	4.61	14.8	14.7	0.11
Chris Dudley	6	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	1	0	13.8	16.4	-2.57	22.1	14.3	7.84
Jeff McInnis	41	39	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.11	-1	3	-4	16.3	16.3	0.00	13.5	15.5	-1.97
Antonio Daniels	38	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.11	-1	3	-4	16.1	16.3	-0.20	13.5	15.4	-1.96
Zach Randolph	66	67	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	8	-14	17.8	14.0	3.81	14.2	15.7	-1.44
Arvydas Sabonis	28	28	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.46	6	-4	10	12.4	17.6	-5.20	12.9	15.4	-2.59

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	26	26	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.18	5	-7	12	13.1	15.3	-2.19	17.8	15.8	2.05
Glenn Robinson	49	48	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-2	2	12.6	16.5	-3.90	15.9	16.6	-0.72
Theo Ratliff	56	57	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	14.4	15.2	-0.74	15.6	16.9	-1.31
Mike Wilks	7	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	13.9	14.9	-1.00	17.7	16.2	1.48
Jason Terry	103	107	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-6	10	15.0	12.2	2.74	16.2	17.7	-1.48
Alan Henderson	15	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	5	-12	14.4	14.9	-0.45	13.4	16.7	-3.37
Dan Dickau	9	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	6	-14	12.9	15.0	-2.07	11.0	16.8	-5.78
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	103	103	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-4	6	14.9	13.4	1.53	16.7	11.9	4.79
Nazr Mohammed	48	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	15.1	14.6	0.55	17.1	15.6	1.43
Corey Benjamin	40	42	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.49	-5	3	-8	18.1	12.9	5.13	15.4	16.8	-1.33
Dion Glover	99	100	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.94	2	-4	6	15.0	12.9	2.10	16.9	11.2	5.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.47,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.15,0.26,0.46,0.61,0.36,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 97, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.37,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.72,0	86.9%
PHX 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.74,0.84,0.95,1	86.5%
NJN 90, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	86.4%