NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	96		Excitement	3.4 [1082]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +9.8%
Atlanta Hawks	121		Comeback	1.3 [873]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -9.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	16	61%	0.03	2	-0.01	12	58%	-0.03
Dean Oliver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	44%	-0.04	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	7	35%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	60%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	12	41%	-0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.00	0.02	25	62%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.04	9	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.03	11	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	58%	0.04	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	30.3	15.4	25.9	1.7	25.3	127.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +42.1%

GSW -5.5%

ATL +1.8%

ATL +12.8%

GSW -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.8	15.6	99.0	126.0	102.3
season	14.7	15.5		100.7	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.1		103.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	15.3	13.3	14.9	14.1
ATL	15.4	13.5	18.0	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Oliver	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-19	13	15.5	13.9	1.58	13.9	16.0	-2.10
Erick Dampier	47	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.17	-7	-18	11	14.4	13.8	0.54	16.4	15.2	1.17
Bob Sura	40	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-15	5	13.9	14.2	-0.23	16.1	15.6	0.55
Gilbert Arenas	62	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-13	1	14.0	14.2	-0.14	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Larry Hughes	17	17	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-14	3	15.8	13.7	2.04	12.9	16.4	-3.51
Danny Fortson	60	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	-16	7	13.3	15.3	-1.92	16.1	15.3	0.75
Adonal Foyle	47	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.28	-21	-4	-17	14.6	13.6	0.91	15.2	16.3	-1.15
Troy Murphy	50	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	-6	-13	14.5	13.6	0.94	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Antawn Jamison	78	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-10	-5	13.6	16.1	-2.52	16.5	12.8	3.65
Jason Richardson	74	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-10	-5	13.9	14.5	-0.58	16.1	14.7	1.42

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	83	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.23	25	0	25	15.5	17.5	-2.04	14.5	11.4	3.12
Jacque Vaughn	58	59	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.26	25	0	25	15.1	16.8	-1.73	14.3	13.8	0.44
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	75	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.04	17	8	9	16.0	15.1	0.90	13.8	15.1	-1.30
Nazr Mohammed	46	47	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	8	9	15.9	15.7	0.23	14.3	13.9	0.38
Ira Newble	45	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	11	3	15.1	16.3	-1.20	15.0	13.2	1.86
Toni Kukoc	44	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	17	-9	16.5	15.2	1.35	13.0	15.0	-1.99
Alan Henderson	44	45	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	20	-15	15.5	16.0	-0.42	13.7	14.4	-0.69
Hanno Mottola	21	20	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.19	8	17	-9	14.4	16.1	-1.72	15.0	13.8	1.22
DerMarr Johnson	51	51	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	25	-25	17.0	14.4	2.62	13.2	15.1	-1.87
Mark Strickland	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	22	-19	15.3	15.8	-0.52	14.4	14.1	0.37
Cal Bowdler	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	16.5	15.7	0.78	15.6	14.0	1.60
Leon Smith	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	22.0	15.6	6.36	15.5	14.1	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 83, MIN 97	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CHI 83, ATL 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
GSW 75, MEM 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%