NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	4.9 [830]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +17.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Comeback	1.3 [710]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -17.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.03	0.03	4	150%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	11	68%	0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	7	79%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Rick Fox	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	19	51%	-0.05	2	-0.05	15	73%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.03	0.02	25	37%	-0.13	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	25	61%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.21	0.02	0.07	15	91%	0.24	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Felipe Lopez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	10	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	28.1	16.4	24.6	2.5	33.2	130.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +30.8%

LAL -2.0%

MIN +8.0%

MIN +5.0%

MIN +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	16.6	15.6	111.0	124.4	102.3
season	15.3	15.0		106.9	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.4		103.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.0	13.8	15.0	15.1	15.2
MIN	14.9	17.5	16.3	17.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	21	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-8	5	16.3	14.9	1.36	19.6	15.7	3.94
Lindsey Hunter	41	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-10	9	16.2	14.5	1.74	15.7	17.3	-1.60
Mark Madsen	28	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-12	13	15.2	15.2	0.01	17.0	16.4	0.63
Brian Shaw	17	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-6	1	13.1	15.7	-2.61	15.6	16.8	-1.17
Rick Fox	47	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-9	7	15.6	14.8	0.78	15.9	17.3	-1.34
Robert Horry	67	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-5	-1	14.8	16.4	-1.54	15.6	19.3	-3.71
Devean George	44	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-2	-7	14.8	15.6	-0.78	17.3	15.9	1.34
Derek Fisher	46	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-2	-7	14.9	15.6	-0.71	17.3	15.9	1.37
Kobe Bryant	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-4	-3	15.4	14.2	1.18	16.8	14.9	1.93
Shaquille O'Neal	66	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	3	-17	15.3	15.0	0.28	16.4	17.0	-0.55

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-4	19	16.2	18.3	-2.10	15.4	14.4	1.09
Kevin Garnett	75	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-4	19	16.5	17.1	-0.57	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Marc Jackson	47	46	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	-1	13	17.8	15.3	2.46	15.7	14.8	0.92
Anthony Peeler	48	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	1	9	17.3	15.8	1.55	14.3	16.4	-2.12
Joe Smith	61	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	6	-1	16.9	16.0	0.92	16.4	12.7	3.75
Wally Szczerbiak	68	69	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.17	2	9	-7	16.1	18.2	-2.17	15.5	14.5	0.92
Rasho Nesterovic	35	38	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	5	1	15.5	17.3	-1.81	16.3	14.5	1.84
Loren Woods	13	12	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	9	-7	15.2	16.8	-1.68	11.7	15.8	-4.12
Felipe Lopez	5	5	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	12	-13	17.4	16.5	0.86	9.0	15.6	-6.60
William Avery	16	17	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	15	-19	18.3	16.2	2.10	14.4	15.4	-1.09
Sam Mitchell	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.16	-7	18	-25	15.1	16.7	-1.61	12.2	15.5	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CHA 91, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.95,1,0.99,1,1	94.5%
ATL 95, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.91,1,1	94.5%