| Win Probability if: | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Game | Time | Score | Shot | Miss | Make | Swing | Result | Play |
| 2007-12-19 | MIA 111 ATL 114 | Q4 1:18 | MIA 102 ATL 102 | 2PT | 0.469 | 0.715 | 0.246 | MISS | MISS Horford Layup |
| 2008-02-13 | ATL 98 CHA 100 | OT1 1:15 | ATL 98 CHA 98 | 2PT | 0.469 | 0.719 | 0.250 | MISS | MISS Horford 8' Jump Shot |
| 2008-03-28 | CHI 103 ATL 106 | Q4 0:07 | CHI 103 ATL 104 | 2PT | 0.747 | 0.939 | 0.191 | MAKE | Horford Dunk |
| 2008-04-02 | TOR 120 ATL 127 | OT1 1:32 | TOR 115 ATL 114 | 2PT | 0.333 | 0.566 | 0.232 | MAKE | Horford 5' Jump Shot |
